Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 28
March 22, 2026 17:45
✗Model wrong — prediction PSV Eindhoven, result Telstar vince
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
8
1.83
Actual xG
1.34
48%
Possession
52%
1
Corners
12
Pre-match prediction
24.08%
Telstar ←
18.3%
X
57.62%
PSV
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Telstar)
24.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
1.83
+0.52
2.52
1.34
-1.18
Telstar dominated by xG (1.83 vs 1.34).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
