Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 31
March 22, 2026 14:30
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
3
1.51
Actual xG
1.09
27%
Possession
73%
7
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
31.77%
Dundee ←
24.42%
X
43.81%
Celtic
we assigned to the actual result (Dundee Utd)
31.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
1.51
+0.12
1.77
1.09
-0.68
Dundee Utd dominated by xG (1.51 vs 1.09).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.