Super League
· Regular Season - 31
March 22, 2026 15:00
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
2.47
Actual xG
0.82
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
23.42%
FC
23.26%
X
53.32%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Basel 1893)
53.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
2.47
+1.32
2.02
0.82
-1.21
FC Winterthur dominated by xG (2.47 vs 0.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.