Super League
· Regular Season - 31
March 22, 2026 17:30
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
2.07
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
50.57%
BSC
25.21%
X ←
24.22%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
0.75
-1.03
0.87
2.07
+1.2
FC Lugano dominated by xG (2.07 vs 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
