Super League
· Regular Season - 31
March 22, 2026 17:30
✓Model correct — prediction FC Luzern
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
0
2.34
Actual xG
0.67
45%
Possession
55%
3
Corners
8
Pre-match prediction
59.51%
FC ←
20.44%
X
20.05%
Lausanne
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Luzern)
59.51%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.36
2.34
-0.02
1.22
0.67
-0.55
FC Luzern dominated by xG (2.34 vs 0.67).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
