Bundesliga
· Championship Group - 24
March 22, 2026 15:30
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
3
0.06
Actual xG
1.44
40%
Possession
60%
1
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
29.74%
TSV
28.44%
X
41.82%
Austria ←
we assigned to the actual result (Austria Vienna)
41.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.62
0.06
-0.56
1.39
1.44
+0.05
Austria Vienna dominated by xG (1.44 vs 0.06).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
