Bundesliga
· Championship Group - 24
March 22, 2026 18:00
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
5
2.02
Actual xG
1.74
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
30.03%
Rapid ←
27.31%
X
42.66%
Lask
we assigned to the actual result (Rapid Vienna)
30.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.89
2.02
+1.13
1.46
1.74
+0.28
xG dominance was balanced (2.02 – 1.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
