Superliga
· Championship Group - 24
March 22, 2026 19:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Aarhus, result Pareggio
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
2
0.58
Actual xG
0.56
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
76.66%
Aarhus
13.87%
X ←
9.47%
Brondby
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
13.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.55
0.58
-1.97
0.46
0.56
+0.1
xG dominance was balanced (0.58 – 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
