Super League
· Regular Season - 26
March 22, 2026 19:00
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
4
2.09
Actual xG
1.41
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
48.23%
Aris
28.5%
X
23.27%
OFI ←
we assigned to the actual result (OFI)
23.27%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
2.09
+0.56
0.88
1.41
+0.53
Aris Thessalonikis dominated by xG (2.09 vs 1.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
