MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 02:30
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
4
1.36
Actual xG
1.74
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
8
Pre-match prediction
39.37%
FC ←
30.36%
X
30.26%
Houston
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas)
39.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.38
1.36
-1.02
1.16
1.74
+0.58
Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.36).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
