MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 02:30
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
9
0.74
Actual xG
4.31
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
33.77%
Sporting
31.02%
X
35.22%
Colorado ←
we assigned to the actual result (Colorado Rapids)
35.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.41
0.74
-0.67
1.51
4.31
+2.8
Colorado Rapids dominated by xG (4.31 vs 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
