MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 02:45
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
1
0.98
Actual xG
1.11
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
31.21%
Austin
30.04%
X ←
38.76%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
0.98
-0.28
2.09
1.11
-0.98
xG dominance was balanced (0.98 – 1.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.