MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 04:30
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
0.98
Actual xG
0.66
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
42.62%
Vancouver
28.8%
X
28.57%
San ←
we assigned to the actual result (San Jose Earthquakes)
28.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.54
0.98
-1.56
0.96
0.66
-0.29
Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (0.98 vs 0.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
