MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 19:00
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
6
1.58
Actual xG
2.05
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
42.37%
FC ←
29.37%
X
28.27%
CF
we assigned to the actual result (FC Cincinnati)
42.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.21
1.58
-0.63
0.81
2.05
+1.24
CF Montreal dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
