MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 22:45
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
7
0.40
Actual xG
1.76
34%
Possession
66%
2
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
32.76%
Portland
29.93%
X ←
37.31%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
0.40
-1.17
2.19
1.76
-0.43
Los Angeles Galaxy dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
