MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 23, 2026 01:00
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
8
1.51
Actual xG
3.04
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
8
Pre-match prediction
42.17%
San
28.94%
X ←
28.89%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.56
1.51
-1.05
1.08
3.04
+1.96
Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (3.04 vs 1.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
