Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 22, 2026 16:30
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
4
1.55
Actual xG
1.23
30%
Possession
70%
5
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
54.45%
FSV ←
24.14%
X
21.42%
Eintracht
we assigned to the actual result (FSV Mainz 05)
54.45%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
1.55
-0.16
1.08
1.23
+0.15
FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.