Liga MX
· Clausura - 12
March 22, 2026 03:05
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
5
1.19
Actual xG
1.10
63%
Possession
37%
9
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
30.6%
Monterrey
23.28%
X
46.12%
Guadalajara ←
we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas)
46.12%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monterrey
1.17
1.19
+0.02
Guadalajara
1.86
1.10
-0.76
xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 1.10).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table