Liga MX
· Clausura - 12
March 23, 2026 01:00
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
5
2.75
Actual xG
0.97
47%
Possession
53%
11
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
40.93%
Santos ←
28.95%
X
30.12%
Puebla
we assigned to the actual result (Santos Laguna)
40.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Santos
1.17
2.75
+1.58
Puebla
1.16
0.97
-0.19
Santos Laguna dominated by xG (2.75 vs 0.97).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
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