Liga MX
· Clausura - 12
March 23, 2026 01:00
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
2
0.71
Actual xG
0.56
48%
Possession
52%
9
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
36.16%
Pachuca
25.75%
X ←
38.09%
Toluca
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Pachuca
1.36
0.71
-0.65
Toluca
1.48
0.56
-0.92
xG dominance was balanced (0.71 – 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
