Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 2
March 22, 2026 18:00
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
5
1.14
Actual xG
1.91
65%
Possession
35%
9
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
33.33%
Sandefjord
33.33%
X
33.33%
Sarpsborg ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sarpsborg 08 FF)
33.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.03
1.14
+0.11
0.79
1.91
+1.12
Sarpsborg 08 FF dominated by xG (1.91 vs 1.14).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.