Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 2
March 22, 2026 18:00
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
7
1.48
Actual xG
1.12
35%
Possession
65%
5
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
31.54%
Fredrikstad ←
31.36%
X
37.1%
KFUM
we assigned to the actual result (Fredrikstad)
31.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.30
1.48
+1.18
3.98
1.12
-2.86
Fredrikstad dominated by xG (1.48 vs 1.12).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
