Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 27
March 22, 2026 22:30
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
3
0.99
Actual xG
1.19
62%
Possession
38%
3
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
45.71%
SC
20.39%
X
33.9%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Porto)
33.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.20
0.99
-1.21
1.81
1.19
-0.62
xG dominance was balanced (0.99 – 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
