Liga BetPlay
· Regular Season - 14
March 29, 2026 00:10
✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
6
2.37
Actual xG
1.31
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
58.55%
Deportes ←
26.31%
X
15.14%
Jaguares
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
58.55%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.81
2.37
+0.56
0.51
1.31
+0.8
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (2.37 vs 1.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
