Liga BetPlay
· Regular Season - 14
March 30, 2026 01:20
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
6
0.95
Actual xG
1.72
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
51.11%
Deportivo
25.6%
X
23.29%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional)
23.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
0.95
-1.15
0.98
1.72
+0.74
Atletico Nacional dominated by xG (1.72 vs 0.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
