Liga BetPlay
· Regular Season - 14
March 31, 2026 03:20
✗Model wrong — prediction Millonarios, result Pareggio
L. Castro
29'
S. Valencia
(ast. S. Viveros)
41'
13'
(ast. J. Marulanda)
J. Herrera
57'
(ast. J. Marulanda)
J. Herrera
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
5
1.22
Actual xG
0.74
3
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
13
Corners
2
10
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
7
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
13'
ast. J. Marulanda ·
J. Herrera⚽
⚽L. Castro
29'
Jorge Arias
30'
⚽S. Valencia
· ast. S. Viveros
41'
46'
Juan Sebastian Herrera
57'
ast. J. Marulanda ·
J. Herrera⚽
62'
Kevin Balanta
Rodrigo Contreras
64'
64'
Yesid Díaz
64'
Jonathan Marulanda
S. Viveros
/ S. Vega
64'
70'
Jhon Balanta
72'
J. Cajares
/
R. D. Rivas Torres
80'
J. Salas
/
J. Velasquez
D. Silva
/ D. Quintero
81'
M. Garcia
/ B. D. Castro Espinosa
81'
84'
Kevin Balanta
84'
Kevin Balanta
S. Valencia
/ D. Banguero
90'+4
Leonardo Castro
90'+6
90'+6
Leonardo Pico
Diego Novoa
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
75.07%
Millonarios
12.22%
X ←
12.72%
Fortaleza
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
12.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.37
1.22
-2.15
0.52
0.74
+0.22
Millonarios dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
D. Novoa
G
D. Novoa
G
22
S. Valencia
1 ⚽
89'
D
S. Valencia
1 ⚽
89'
D
17
J. Arias
D
J. Arias
D
4
E. Elizalde
D
E. Elizalde
D
26
A. Llinas
D
A. Llinas
D
30
S. Viveros
1 👟
14
D. Silva
81'
M
D. Silva
81'
M
18
R. Urena
M
R. Urena
M
19
M. Garcia
81'
M
M. Garcia
81'
M
23
L. Castro
1 ⚽
F
L. Castro
1 ⚽
F
27
R. Contreras
F
R. Contreras
F
Bench
33
A. Castro
F
A. Castro
F
11
B. D. Castro Espinosa
9'
F
B. D. Castro Espinosa
9'
F
20
D. Banguero
1'
D
D. Banguero
1'
D
7
D. Quintero
9'
M
D. Quintero
9'
M
1
G. De Amores
G
G. De Amores
G
24
J. Angulo
F
J. Angulo
F
3
M. Samuel
D
M. Samuel
D
35
S. Mosquera
28
S. Vega
26'
M
S. Vega
26'
M
32
M. Barragan
G
M. Barragan
G
15
S. Cuero
D
S. Cuero
D
6
Y. Diaz
D
Y. Diaz
D
18
J. Balanta
D
J. Balanta
D
4
J. Marulanda
2 👟
D
J. Marulanda
2 👟
D
17
K. A. Balanta Carabali
84'
M
K. A. Balanta Carabali
84'
M
14
L. Pico
M
L. Pico
M
26
R. D. Rivas Torres
72'
M
R. D. Rivas Torres
72'
M
33
A. Arroyo
M
A. Arroyo
M
10
J. Velasquez
80'
M
J. Velasquez
80'
M
9
J. Herrera
2 ⚽
F
J. Herrera
2 ⚽
F
Bench
20
C. Orozco
D
C. Orozco
D
19
F. Pulicastro
F
F. Pulicastro
F
16
J. Cajares
18'
D
J. Cajares
18'
D
7
J. Martinez
F
J. Martinez
F
5
J. Medina Obando
D
J. Medina Obando
D
24
J. Salas
10'
F
J. Salas
10'
F
1
M. Silva
G
M. Silva
G
8
S. Navarro
M
S. Navarro
M
31
S. Vivas
M
S. Vivas
M
Best on the pitch
J. Herrera
F · Fortaleza
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
J. Marulanda
D · Fortaleza
8.20
2 👟
· 56 pass
L. Castro
F · Millonarios
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
S. Valencia
D · Millonarios
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 24 pass
E. Elizalde
D · Millonarios
7.20
1 shots
· 50 pass
S. Vega
M · Millonarios
7.20
· 13 pass
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Novoa | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Valencia | D | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Arias | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Elizalde | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Llinas | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Viveros | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D. Silva | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Urena | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Garcia | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| B. D. Castro Espinosa | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Banguero | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Quintero | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Vega | M | 26 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Barragan | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Cuero | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Diaz | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Balanta | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Marulanda | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | 2 | — | 56 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. A. Balanta Carabali | M | 84 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| L. Pico | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | — | 1 | — |
| R. D. Rivas Torres | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Arroyo | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| J. Velasquez | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Herrera | F | 90 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Cajares | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Salas | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |