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Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 03, 2026 18:00

Stoke City

#17 · 55 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Sheffield Wednesday

#24 · -3 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Stoke City

J. Rak-Sakyi (ast. S. Thomas) 32'

L. Cisse 57'

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.54

Actual xG

1.39

Saves

48%

Possession

52%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

18'

Sean Fusire

⚽J. Rak-Sakyi · ast. S. Thomas

32'

Jesurun Rak-Sakyi

42'

⚽L. Cisse

57'

↕ M. Manhoef / S. Gallagher

58'

↕ J. Rak-Sakyi / J. Bae

58'

T. Adaramola / M. Lowe ↕

59'

N. Chalobah / J. Thornton ↕

59'

O. Kobacki / C. McNeill ↕

↕ S. N'Zonzi / L. Baker

74'

↕ L. Cisse / T. Rigo

74'

Lewis Baker

78'

↕ B. Lawal / B. Gibson

84'

87'

D. Moses / J. Heskey ↕

Pre-match prediction

69.92%

Stoke ←

19.64%

10.44%

Sheffield

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Stoke City) 69.92% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Stoke

2.10

2.54

+0.44

Sheffield

0.67

1.39

+0.72

Stoke City dominated by xG (2.54 vs 1.39). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Coventry	45	92
2	Ipswich	45	81
3	Millwall	45	80
4	Middlesbrough	45	79
5	Southampton	45	77
6	Wrexham	45	70
7	Hull City	45	70
8	Derby	45	69
9	Norwich	45	65
10	Birmingham	45	63
11	Swansea	45	61
12	Preston	45	60
13	Bristol City	45	59
14	QPR	45	58
15	Sheffield Utd	45	57
16	Watford	45	57
17	Stoke City	45	55
18	Portsmouth	45	54
19	Charlton	45	53
20	Blackburn	45	52
21	West Brom	45	51
22	Oxford United	45	47
23	Leicester	45	43
24	Sheffield Wednesday	45	-3

Lineups

Stoke City 3-4-2-1

G. Bazunu G 7.30

A. Cresswell D 7.70

A. Phillips D 7.50

B. Lawal

E. Bocat M 7.30

T. Seko M 6.90

S. N'Zonzi 74' M 7.60

S. Thomas 1 👟 M 8.30

J. Rak-Sakyi 1 ⚽ 58' F 8.30

M. Manhoef 58' F 6.20

L. Cisse 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.20

Bench

B. Gibson 13' D 6.90

B. Pearson M

J. Bae 39' M 7.00

L. Baker 23' M 6.30

M. Smit F

S. Agina M

S. Gallagher 39' F 7.20

T. Rigo 23' M 6.70

T. Simkin G

Sheffield Wednesday 3-4-2-1

P. Charles G 8.20

L. Palmer D 6.30

G. Otegbayo D 6.20

D. Iorfa D 6.70

M. Lowe 58' M 6.20

S. Ingelsson M 7.20

J. Thornton 59' M 6.50

S. Fusire M 6.30

C. McNeill 59' F 6.70

J. Heskey 87' F 7.20

J. Yates F 6.00

Bench

C. McGhee D

D. Moses 10' F 6.30

J. Ndala F

L. Stretch G

N. Chalobah 38' M 6.60

O. Kobacki 38' F 6.60

T. Adaramola 39' D 6.90

W. Grainger F

Z. Silcott-Duberry M

Best on the pitch

S. Thomas

M · Stoke

8.30

1 👟

· 27 pass

J. Rak-Sakyi

F · Stoke

8.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 16 pass

P. Charles

G · Sheffield

8.20

· 36 pass

A. Cresswell

D · Stoke

7.70

· 46 pass

S. N'Zonzi

M · Stoke

7.60

1 shots · 30 pass

A. Phillips

D · Stoke

7.50

· 30 pass

Stoke City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Bazunu	G	97	7.30	—	—	—	27	18%	—	—	—
A. Cresswell	D	97	7.70	—	—	—	46	44%	—	—	—
A. Phillips	D	97	7.50	—	—	—	30	28%	—	—	—
B. Lawal		—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
E. Bocat	M	97	7.30	—	—	2	29	25%	2	—	—
T. Seko	M	97	6.90	—	—	—	30	25%	1	—	—
S. N'Zonzi	M	74	7.60	—	—	1	30	25%	2	—	—
S. Thomas	M	97	8.30	—	1	—	27	25%	1	—	—
J. Rak-Sakyi	F	58	8.30	1	—	3	16	12%	2	1	—
M. Manhoef	F	58	6.20	—	—	—	14	11%	—	—	—
L. Cisse	F	74	7.20	1	—	2	18	13%	2	—	—
B. Gibson	D	13	6.90	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
J. Bae	M	39	7.00	—	—	1	13	12%	—	—	—
L. Baker	M	23	6.30	—	—	—	10	9%	1	1	—
S. Gallagher	F	39	7.20	—	—	—	8	3%	1	—	—
T. Rigo	M	23	6.70	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—

Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Charles	G	97	8.20	—	—	—	36	25%	—	—	—
L. Palmer	D	97	6.30	—	—	—	50	43%	2	—	—
G. Otegbayo	D	97	6.20	—	—	—	33	30%	1	—	—
D. Iorfa	D	97	6.70	—	—	1	36	29%	1	—	—
M. Lowe	M	58	6.20	—	—	—	26	20%	1	—	—
S. Ingelsson	M	97	7.20	—	—	1	49	41%	1	—	—
J. Thornton	M	59	6.50	—	—	—	24	19%	—	—	—
S. Fusire	M	97	6.30	—	—	1	28	20%	3	1	—
C. McNeill	F	59	6.70	—	—	—	14	12%	3	—	—
J. Heskey	F	87	7.20	—	—	1	27	21%	1	—	—
J. Yates	F	97	6.00	—	—	1	5	2%	1	—	—
D. Moses	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
N. Chalobah	M	38	6.60	—	—	—	20	16%	1	—	—
O. Kobacki	F	38	6.60	—	—	1	18	15%	1	—	—
T. Adaramola	D	39	6.90	—	—	—	23	21%	—	—	—