← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29 April 04, 2026 18:30
PSV Eindhoven
#1 · 77 pts
4 – 3
Final score
Utrecht
#8 · 44 pts
✓Model correct — prediction PSV Eindhoven
I. Saibari (ast. I. Perisic) 21'
I. Saibari (ast. Mauro Junior) 48'
G. Til (ast. I. Saibari) 52'
C. Driouech (ast. J. Veerman) 90'
3' (ast. N. Vesterlund) A. Stepanov
13' (ast. A. Alarcon) G. Zechiel
82' (ast. S. Haller) J. Karlsson
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
7
2.94
Actual xG
1.40
4
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
3
16
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. N. Vesterlund · A. Stepanov⚽
13'
ast. A. Alarcon · G. Zechiel⚽
⚽I. Saibari · ast. I. Perisic
21'
⚽I. Saibari · ast. Mauro Junior
48'
⚽G. Til · ast. I. Saibari
52'
59'
J. Karlsson / S. Horemans ↕
↕ J. Schouten / R. Flamingo
66'
71'
Niklas Vesterlund
↕ D. Man / E. Bajraktarevic
74'
↕ I. Perisic / C. Driouech
74'
77'
S. Haller / A. Alarcon ↕
77'
D. Min / A. Stepanov ↕
82'
ast. S. Haller · J. Karlsson⚽
↕ G. Til / R. Pepi
86'
⚽C. Driouech · ast. J. Veerman
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.43%
PSV ←
21.78%
X
20.79%
Utrecht
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 57.43% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PSV
2.04
2.94
+0.9
Utrecht
1.34
1.40
+0.06
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (2.94 vs 1.40). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 31 77
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 31 58
3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 31 55
4 Ajax Ajax 31 54
5 Twente Twente 31 54
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 31 49
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 31 47
8 Utrecht Utrecht 31 44
9 Groningen Groningen 31 42
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 31 42
11 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 31 37
12 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 31 36
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 31 34
14 Excelsior Excelsior 31 31
15 FC Volendam FC Volendam 31 31
16 Telstar Telstar 31 30
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 31 25
18 Heracles Heracles 31 19
Lineups
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-3-3
32 M. Kovar M. Kovar G 6.20
17 Mauro Junior Mauro Junior 1 👟 D 6.90
3 Y. Gasiorowski Y. Gasiorowski D 6.20
22 J. Schouten J. Schouten 65' D 6.90
25 K. Sildillia K. Sildillia D 6.30
34 I. Saibari I. Saibari 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 10.00
10 P. Wanner P. Wanner M 7.20
23 J. Veerman J. Veerman 1 👟 M 7.70
5 I. Perisic I. Perisic 1 👟 74' F 7.20
20 G. Til G. Til 1 ⚽ 86' F 6.90
27 D. Man D. Man 74' F 7.00
Bench
4 A. Obispo A. Obispo D
11 C. Driouech C. Driouech 1 ⚽ 16' F 7.60
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic 16' F 6.20
21 M. Boadu M. Boadu F
31 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez M
1 N. Olij N. Olij G
24 N. Schiks N. Schiks G
6 R. Flamingo R. Flamingo 25' D 6.30
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 13' F 6.20
Utrecht Utrecht 3-4-3
1 V. Barkas V. Barkas G 5.30
3 M. van der Hoorn M. van der Hoorn D 7.30
40 M. Didden M. Didden D 6.30
2 S. Horemans S. Horemans 59' D 6.30
16 S. El Karouani S. El Karouani M 7.00
21 G. Zechiel G. Zechiel 1 ⚽ M 7.90
27 A. Engwanda A. Engwanda M 6.70
23 N. Vesterlund N. Vesterlund 1 👟 M 6.70
10 Y. Cathline Y. Cathline F 7.20
18 A. Stepanov A. Stepanov 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.20
77 A. Alarcon A. Alarcon 1 👟 77' F 6.70
Bench
15 A. Blake A. Blake F
8 C. Bozdogan C. Bozdogan M
9 D. Min D. Min 13' F 6.50
5 E. Adiele E. Adiele D
11 J. Karlsson J. Karlsson 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.20
33 K. Gadellaa K. Gadellaa G
25 M. Brouwer M. Brouwer G
53 N. Viereck N. Viereck D
57 P. Kloosterboer P. Kloosterboer D
43 R. El Arguioui R. El Arguioui M
91 S. Haller S. Haller 1 👟 13' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
I. Saibari
I. Saibari
M · PSV
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 42 pass
G. Zechiel
G. Zechiel
M · Utrecht
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
J. Veerman
J. Veerman
M · PSV
7.70
1 👟
· 75 pass
C. Driouech
C. Driouech
F · PSV
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
M. van der Hoorn
M. van der Hoorn
D · Utrecht
7.30
· 34 pass
A. Stepanov
A. Stepanov
F · Utrecht
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Kovar G 90 6.20 — — — 33 28% — — —
Mauro Junior D 90 6.90 — 1 2 55 49% 1 — —
Y. Gasiorowski D 90 6.20 — — — 66 63% — — —
J. Schouten D 65 6.90 — — 1 72 65% 4 — —
K. Sildillia D 90 6.30 — — 3 37 26% 1 — —
I. Saibari M 90 10.00 2 1 3 42 34% 1 — —
P. Wanner M 90 7.20 — — — 37 35% 3 — —
J. Veerman M 90 7.70 — 1 — 75 69% 1 — —
I. Perisic F 74 7.20 — 1 — 26 20% — — —
G. Til F 86 6.90 1 — 2 28 25% 2 — —
D. Man F 74 7.00 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
C. Driouech F 16 7.60 1 — 2 6 5% 2 — —
E. Bajraktarevic F 16 6.20 — — 1 12 8% — — —
R. Flamingo D 25 6.30 — — — 19 17% — — —
R. Pepi F 13 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Barkas G 90 5.30 — — — 29 12% — — —
M. van der Hoorn D 90 7.30 — — — 34 30% 1 — —
M. Didden D 90 6.30 — — — 39 29% 3 — —
S. Horemans D 59 6.30 — — — 10 6% — — —
S. El Karouani M 90 7.00 — — — 27 15% 3 — —
G. Zechiel M 90 7.90 1 — 1 33 27% 1 — —
A. Engwanda M 90 6.70 — — — 31 26% 4 — —
N. Vesterlund M 90 6.70 — 1 1 18 15% 2 1 —
Y. Cathline F 90 7.20 — — 3 25 16% 2 — —
A. Stepanov F 77 7.20 1 — 2 18 11% 1 — —
A. Alarcon F 77 6.70 — 1 — 15 11% 2 — —
D. Min F 13 6.50 — — — 10 7% — — —
J. Karlsson F 31 7.20 1 — 2 4 3% — — —
S. Haller F 13 6.70 — 1 — 5 4% — — —