← Bundesliga
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 17:30
SC Freiburg
#8 · 43 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Bayern München
#1 · 82 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Bayern München
J. Manzambi (ast. M. Eggestein) 46'
L. Holer 71'
81' (ast. L. Karl) T. Bischof
90' (ast. M. Olise) T. Bischof
90' (ast. A. Davies) L. Karl
Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
9
1.82
Actual xG
2.80
6
Saves
2
30%
Possession
70%
5
Corners
8
23
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Christian Günter
-5'
25'
Jonathan Tah
Matthias Ginter
29'
⚽J. Manzambi · ast. M. Eggestein
46'
56'
K. Laimer / J. Tah ↕
56'
M. Olise / R. Guerreiro ↕
56'
A. Pavlovic / L. Goretzka ↕
↕ C. Gunter / L. Kubler
65'
65'
J. Musiala / S. Gnabry ↕
⚽L. Holer
71'
73'
Michael Olise
↕ J. Manzambi / I. Matanovic
78'
↕ J. Beste / C. Irie
78'
81'
ast. L. Karl · T. Bischof⚽
87'
A. Davies / Kim Min-Jae ↕
↕ L. Holer / B. Ogbus
89'
Noah Atubolu
90'+9
90'+10
Lennart Karl
↕ Y. Suzuki / N. Hofler
90'
90'
ast. M. Olise · T. Bischof⚽
90'
ast. A. Davies · L. Karl⚽
Pre-match prediction
18.53%
SC
14.36%
X
67.11%
Bayern ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München) 67.11% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
1.41
1.82
+0.41
Bayern
3.19
2.80
-0.39
Bayern München dominated by xG (2.80 vs 1.82). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 31 82
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 31 67
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 31 62
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 31 57
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 31 57
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 31 55
7 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 31 43
8 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 31 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 31 37
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 31 34
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 32
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 31 32
13 Union Berlin Union Berlin 31 32
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 31 31
15 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 31 31
16 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 31 26
17 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 31 25
18 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 31 22
Lineups
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu N. Atubolu G 6.60
30 C. Gunter C. Gunter 65' D 7.00
3 P. Lienhart P. Lienhart D 6.20
28 M. Ginter M. Ginter D 6.50
29 P. Treu P. Treu D 6.20
44 J. Manzambi J. Manzambi 1 ⚽ 78' M 8.30
8 M. Eggestein M. Eggestein 1 👟 M 7.20
7 D. Scherhant D. Scherhant M 6.90
14 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 89' M 6.20
19 J. Beste J. Beste 78' M 8.30
9 L. Holer L. Holer 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.60
Bench
5 A. Jung A. Jung D
43 B. Ogbus B. Ogbus 12' D 6.50
22 C. Irie C. Irie 12' F 6.60
21 F. Muller F. Muller G
31 I. Matanovic I. Matanovic 12' F 6.90
17 L. Kubler L. Kubler 25' D 6.20
26 M. Philipp M. Philipp F
27 N. Hofler N. Hofler 11' M 6.20
32 V. Grifo V. Grifo M
Bayern München Bayern München 4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer M. Neuer G 6.30
20 T. Bischof T. Bischof 2 ⚽ D 8.70
4 J. Tah J. Tah 56' D 7.20
3 Kim Min-Jae Kim Min-Jae 87' D 6.60
44 J. Stanisic J. Stanisic D 6.30
8 L. Goretzka L. Goretzka 56' M 6.50
6 J. Kimmich J. Kimmich M 7.50
14 L. Diaz L. Diaz M 6.30
22 R. Guerreiro R. Guerreiro 56' M 6.20
42 L. Karl L. Karl 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 6.30
7 S. Gnabry S. Gnabry 65' F 6.60
Bench
19 A. Davies A. Davies 1 👟 14' D 7.00
45 A. Pavlovic A. Pavlovic 34' M 6.60
2 D. Upamecano D. Upamecano D
21 H. Ito H. Ito D
10 J. Musiala J. Musiala 25' M 6.30
40 J. Urbig J. Urbig G
27 K. Laimer K. Laimer 34' M 7.00
49 M. Cardozo M. Cardozo M
17 M. Olise M. Olise 1 👟 34' M 5.90
Best on the pitch
T. Bischof
T. Bischof
D · Bayern
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots · 52 pass
J. Beste
J. Beste
M · SC
8.30
1 shots · 18 pass
J. Manzambi
J. Manzambi
M · SC
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
L. Holer
L. Holer
F · SC
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 14 pass
J. Kimmich
J. Kimmich
M · Bayern
7.50
2 shots · 83 pass
M. Eggestein
M. Eggestein
M · SC
7.20
1 👟
· 27 pass
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Atubolu G 90 6.60 — — — 42 23% — 1 —
C. Gunter D 65 7.00 — — — 16 11% 1 1 —
P. Lienhart D 90 6.20 — — 1 33 28% 2 — —
M. Ginter D 90 6.50 — — — 26 23% 3 1 —
P. Treu D 90 6.20 — — 1 26 23% 2 — —
J. Manzambi M 78 8.30 1 — 1 20 14% 1 — —
M. Eggestein M 90 7.20 — 1 — 27 18% 1 — —
D. Scherhant M 90 6.90 — — — 10 9% 1 — —
Y. Suzuki M 89 6.20 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
J. Beste M 78 8.30 — — 1 18 13% 5 — —
L. Holer F 89 7.60 1 — 4 14 9% 2 — —
B. Ogbus D 12 6.50 — — — 2 2% 2 — —
C. Irie F 12 6.60 — — — 3 3% — — —
I. Matanovic F 12 6.90 — — 1 5 3% 1 — —
L. Kubler D 25 6.20 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
N. Hofler M 11 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
Bayern München Bayern München — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Neuer G 90 6.30 — — — 48 36% — — —
T. Bischof D 90 8.70 2 — 4 52 46% 1 — —
J. Tah D 56 7.20 — — — 52 50% 2 1 —
Kim Min-Jae D 87 6.60 — — — 58 56% 1 — —
J. Stanisic D 90 6.30 — — — 57 53% 1 — —
L. Goretzka M 56 6.50 — — — 29 27% — — —
J. Kimmich M 90 7.50 — — 2 83 76% 3 — —
L. Diaz M 90 6.30 — — 2 44 37% 1 — —
R. Guerreiro M 56 6.20 — — — 19 16% — — —
L. Karl M 90 6.30 1 1 2 38 30% 2 1 —
S. Gnabry F 65 6.60 — — 1 32 31% 2 — —
A. Davies D 14 7.00 — 1 — 7 6% — — —
A. Pavlovic M 34 6.60 — — — 40 35% 1 — —
J. Musiala M 25 6.30 — — 1 13 12% — — —
K. Laimer M 34 7.00 — — — 27 25% 1 — —
M. Olise M 34 5.90 — 1 2 33 24% — 1 —