← Bundesliga
2 – 2
Final score
#18 · 22 pts
Model wrong — prediction Borussia Mönchengladbach, result Pareggio
W. Mohya (ast. J. Castrop) 16'
F. Honorat (ast. S. Machino) 74'
26' (ast. N. Dorsch) P. Mainka
63' M. Busch
Match statistics
11
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
7
0.73
Actual xG
0.94
4
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
3
13
Tackles
22
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
W. Mohya · ast. J. Castrop
16'
26'
ast. N. Dorsch · P. Mainka
Jens Castrop
42'
Yannik Engelhardt
44'
49'
L. Stergiou / H. Behrens
62'
M. Kaufmann / B. Zivzivadze
62'
A. Ibrahimovic / M. Honsak
Y. Engelhardt / K. Stoger
63'
W. Mohya / F. Neuhaus
63'
63'
M. Busch
67'
B. Gimber /
R. Reitz / H. Bolin
70'
J. Scally / H. Tabakovic
70'
F. Honorat · ast. S. Machino
74'
Nico Elvedi
80'
S. Machino / G. Reyna
85'
Kevin Diks
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
58.28%
Borussia
22.76%
X ←
18.96%
1.
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Borussia
1.85
0.73
-1.12
1.
0.96
0.94
-0.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.73 – 0.94). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 31 82
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 31 67
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 31 62
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 31 57
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 31 57
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 31 55
7 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 31 43
8 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 31 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 31 37
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 31 34
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 32
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 31 32
13 Union Berlin Union Berlin 31 32
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 31 31
15 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 31 31
16 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 31 26
17 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 31 25
18 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 31 22
Lineups
33 M. Nicolas M. Nicolas G 8.20
4 K. Diks K. Diks D 6.90
30 N. Elvedi N. Elvedi D 7.00
16 P. Sander P. Sander D 6.90
17 J. Castrop J. Castrop 1 👟 M 6.90
6 Y. Engelhardt Y. Engelhardt 63' M 6.50
27 R. Reitz R. Reitz 70' M 7.50
29 J. Scally J. Scally 70' M 6.30
36 W. Mohya W. Mohya 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.30
9 F. Honorat F. Honorat 1 ⚽ F 7.70
18 S. Machino S. Machino 1 👟 85' F 6.30
Bench
2 F. C. Chiarodia F. C. Chiarodia D
10 F. Neuhaus F. Neuhaus 27' M 6.70
13 G. Reyna G. Reyna 10' M 7.20
38 H. Bolin H. Bolin 20' M 6.30
15 H. Tabakovic H. Tabakovic 20' F 6.20
23 J. Olschowsky J. Olschowsky G
7 K. Stoger K. Stoger 27' M 7.50
26 L. Ullrich L. Ullrich D
5 M. Friedrich M. Friedrich D
41 D. Ramaj D. Ramaj G 6.70
26 H. Behrens H. Behrens 49' D 6.90
19 J. Fohrenbach J. Fohrenbach D 6.90
6 P. Mainka P. Mainka 1 ⚽ D 7.90
2 M. Busch M. Busch 1 ⚽ D 7.30
17 M. Honsak M. Honsak 62' M 6.30
30 N. Dorsch N. Dorsch 1 👟 M 7.30
16 J. Niehues J. Niehues M 6.70
8 E. Dinkci E. Dinkci M 6.70
11 B. Zivzivadze B. Zivzivadze 62' F 6.30
18 M. Pieringer M. Pieringer F 7.20
Bench
22 A. Ibrahimovic A. Ibrahimovic 28' M 6.70
5 B. Gimber B. Gimber 23' D 7.30
40 F. Feller F. Feller G
20 L. Kerber L. Kerber M
25 L. Stergiou L. Stergiou 41' D 6.90
29 M. Kaufmann M. Kaufmann 5' F
23 O. H. Traore O. H. Traore D
9 S. Schimmer S. Schimmer F
4 T. Siersleben T. Siersleben D
Best on the pitch
M. Nicolas
M. Nicolas
G · Borussia
8.20
· 39 pass
P. Mainka
P. Mainka
D · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 58 pass
F. Honorat
F. Honorat
F · Borussia
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
K. Stoger
K. Stoger
M · Borussia
7.50
1 shots · 31 pass
R. Reitz
R. Reitz
M · Borussia
7.50
1 shots · 47 pass
B. Gimber
B. Gimber
D · 1.
7.30
· 15 pass
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Nicolas G 90 8.20 39 34%
K. Diks D 90 6.90 1 60 56% 1
N. Elvedi D 90 7.00 60 55% 2 1
P. Sander D 90 6.90 56 45% 1
J. Castrop M 90 6.90 1 1 30 22% 2 1
Y. Engelhardt M 63 6.50 37 26% 1 1
R. Reitz M 70 7.50 1 47 42% 2
J. Scally M 70 6.30 22 17% 2
W. Mohya F 63 7.30 1 2 20 16%
F. Honorat F 90 7.70 1 2 31 22% 1
S. Machino F 85 6.30 1 31 24%
F. Neuhaus M 27 6.70 24 22%
G. Reyna M 10 7.20 15 15%
H. Bolin M 20 6.30 1 11 8%
H. Tabakovic F 20 6.20 2 9 5%
K. Stoger M 27 7.50 1 31 26% 2
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Ramaj G 90 6.70 60 32%
H. Behrens D 49 6.90 15 12% 3
J. Fohrenbach D 90 6.90 59 51%
P. Mainka D 90 7.90 1 3 58 54%
M. Busch D 90 7.30 1 1 45 42% 2
M. Honsak M 62 6.30 1 21 15% 2
N. Dorsch M 90 7.30 1 66 58% 4
J. Niehues M 90 6.70 1 41 38% 3
E. Dinkci M 90 6.70 3 28 20% 3
B. Zivzivadze F 62 6.30 1 13 9% 1
M. Pieringer F 90 7.20 1 20 16%
A. Ibrahimovic M 28 6.70 13 12%
B. Gimber D 23 7.30 15 14% 3
L. Stergiou D 41 6.90 19 17% 1
M. Kaufmann F 5