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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 17:30
Bayer Leverkusen
#6 · 55 pts
6 – 3
Final score
VfL Wolfsburg
#17 · 25 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Bayer Leverkusen
A. Grimaldo 30' (pen.)
A. Grimaldo (ast. E. Fernandez) 44'
P. Schick 53' (pen.)
E. Tapsoba 68'
I. Maza (ast. E. Palacios) 73'
M. Tillman (ast. E. Poku) 90'
16' (ast. K. Koulierakis) J. Wind
31' J. Maehle
(pen.) 38' C. Eriksen
Match statistics
21
Total shots
10
11
Shots on target
5
4.20
Actual xG
2.02
2
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
12
Corners
2
11
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
16'
ast. K. Koulierakis · J. Wind⚽
29'
Joakim Mæhle
⚽A. Grimaldo (pen.)
30'
31'
J. Maehle⚽
36'
Edmond Tapsoba
37'
38'
(pen.) C. Eriksen⚽
⚽A. Grimaldo · ast. E. Fernandez
44'
↕ E. Fernandez / P. Schick
46'
⚽P. Schick (pen.)
53'
55'
Konstantinos Koulierakis
66'
J. Lindstrom / P. Wimmer ↕
⚽E. Tapsoba
68'
71'
Denis Vavro
⚽I. Maza · ast. E. Palacios
73'
↕ N. Tella / E. Poku
81'
81'
M. Arnold / C. Eriksen ↕
81'
D. Pejcinovic / J. Wind ↕
82'
M. Svanberg / S. Kumbedi ↕
↕ C. Kofane / M. Tillman
88'
⚽M. Tillman · ast. E. Poku
90'
Pre-match prediction
75.96%
Bayer ←
15.74%
X
8.3%
VfL
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen) 75.96% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bayer
2.49
4.20
+1.71
VfL
0.76
2.02
+1.26
Bayer Leverkusen dominated by xG (4.20 vs 2.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 31 82
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 31 67
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 31 62
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 31 57
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 31 57
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 31 55
7 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 31 43
8 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 31 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 31 37
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 31 34
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 32
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 31 32
13 Union Berlin Union Berlin 31 32
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 31 31
15 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 31 31
16 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 31 26
17 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 31 25
18 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 31 22
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1
1 M. Flekken M. Flekken G 6.60
12 E. Tapsoba E. Tapsoba 1 ⚽ D 6.90
5 L. Bade L. Bade D 6.70
8 R. Andrich R. Andrich D 6.20
20 A. Grimaldo A. Grimaldo 2 ⚽ M 9.00
6 E. Fernandez E. Fernandez 1 👟 45' M 6.50
25 E. Palacios E. Palacios 1 👟 M 7.90
42 M. Culbreath M. Culbreath M 6.50
23 N. Tella N. Tella 81' F 7.30
30 I. Maza I. Maza 1 ⚽ F 8.90
35 C. Kofane C. Kofane 88' F 6.50
Bench
16 A. Tape A. Tape D
17 E. Ben Seghir E. Ben Seghir F
19 E. Poku E. Poku 1 👟 9' F 7.90
28 J. Blaswich J. Blaswich G
7 J. Hofmann J. Hofmann M
18 J. Omlin J. Omlin G
10 M. Tillman M. Tillman 1 ⚽ 9' M 7.60
14 P. Schick P. Schick 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.00
15 T. Oermann T. Oermann D
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 3-4-2-1
1 K. Grabara K. Grabara G 6.70
4 K. Koulierakis K. Koulierakis 1 👟 D 5.60
3 D. Vavro D. Vavro D 5.90
6 J. Belocian J. Belocian D 5.60
21 J. Maehle J. Maehle 1 ⚽ M 6.30
5 Vini Souza Vini Souza M 6.70
24 C. Eriksen C. Eriksen 1 ⚽ 81' M 6.90
26 S. Kumbedi S. Kumbedi 82' M 6.00
9 M. Amoura M. Amoura F 6.20
39 P. Wimmer P. Wimmer 66' F 6.90
23 J. Wind J. Wind 1 ⚽ 81' F 8.50
Bench
11 A. Daghim A. Daghim F
25 A. Zehnter A. Zehnter D
17 D. Pejcinovic D. Pejcinovic 9' F 6.30
19 J. Lindstrom J. Lindstrom 24' M 6.70
7 K. Shiogai K. Shiogai F
27 M. Arnold M. Arnold 9' M 6.50
32 M. Svanberg M. Svanberg 8' M 6.30
12 P. Pervan P. Pervan G
31 Y. Gerhardt Y. Gerhardt M
Best on the pitch
A. Grimaldo
A. Grimaldo
M · Bayer
9.00
2 ⚽
4 shots · 79 pass
I. Maza
I. Maza
F · Bayer
8.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 55 pass
J. Wind
J. Wind
F · VfL
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
E. Poku
E. Poku
F · Bayer
7.90
1 👟
· 6 pass
E. Palacios
E. Palacios
M · Bayer
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 122 pass
M. Tillman
M. Tillman
M · Bayer
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Flekken G 90 6.60 — — — 15 8% — — —
E. Tapsoba D 90 6.90 1 — 1 83 73% 1 1 —
L. Bade D 90 6.70 — — 2 70 67% 1 — —
R. Andrich D 90 6.20 — — 2 72 62% 1 — —
A. Grimaldo M 90 9.00 2 — 4 79 71% 1 — —
E. Fernandez M 45 6.50 — 1 1 27 25% — — —
E. Palacios M 90 7.90 — 1 1 122 109% 2 — —
M. Culbreath M 90 6.50 — — 1 35 27% 2 — —
N. Tella F 81 7.30 — — 3 30 27% — — —
I. Maza F 90 8.90 1 — 3 55 42% 2 — —
C. Kofane F 88 6.50 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
E. Poku F 9 7.90 — 1 — 6 5% — — —
M. Tillman M 9 7.60 1 — 1 9 9% — — —
P. Schick F 45 7.00 1 — 2 8 7% — — —
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Grabara G 90 6.70 — — — 35 22% — — —
K. Koulierakis D 90 5.60 — 1 1 29 26% 2 1 —
D. Vavro D 90 5.90 — — 1 25 21% 1 1 —
J. Belocian D 90 5.60 — — — 25 24% 1 — —
J. Maehle M 90 6.30 1 — 1 20 17% 1 1 —
Vini Souza M 90 6.70 — — — 29 24% 4 — —
C. Eriksen M 81 6.90 1 — 1 31 23% 1 — —
S. Kumbedi M 82 6.00 — — — 15 11% 3 — —
M. Amoura F 90 6.20 — — 3 16 8% 2 — —
P. Wimmer F 66 6.90 — — 1 19 10% 2 — —
J. Wind F 81 8.50 1 — 1 20 14% — — —
D. Pejcinovic F 9 6.30 — — 1 3 2% — — —
J. Lindstrom M 24 6.70 — — — 4 2% 2 — —
M. Arnold M 9 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
M. Svanberg M 8 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —