← Serie B
#2 · 75 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#18 · 34 pts
Model correct — prediction Monza
P. Obiang (ast. A. Petagna) 50'
M. Pessina (ast. G. Caso) 79'
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
0
2.01
Actual xG
0.21
0
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
1
16
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
P. Obiang · ast. A. Petagna
50'
64'
Giulio Maggiore
P. Obiang / L. Colombo
66'
66'
M. Verreth / G. Maggiore
66'
M. Dorval / M. Mane
D. Mota / G. Caso
67'
S. Birindelli / A. Bakoune
67'
Andrea Petagna
70'
M. Pessina · ast. G. Caso
79'
82'
N. Cavuoti / K. Piscopo
82'
M. Cuni / T. Esteves
A. Petagna / A. Alvarez
83'
83'
C. Gytkjaer / G. Moncini
L. Lucchesi / A. Carboni
89'
90'+4
Mehdi Dorval
Pre-match prediction
65.78%
Monza ←
22.58%
X
11.64%
Bari
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Monza) 65.78% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monza
2.08
2.01
-0.07
Bari
0.90
0.21
-0.69
Monza dominated by xG (2.01 vs 0.21). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 36 78
2 Monza Monza 36 75
3 Frosinone Frosinone 36 75
4 Palermo Palermo 36 69
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 36 59
6 Modena Modena 36 52
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 36 50
8 Avellino Avellino 36 46
9 Cesena Cesena 36 45
10 Carrarese Carrarese 36 43
11 Mantova Mantova 36 43
12 Sampdoria Sampdoria 36 41
13 Sudtirol Sudtirol 36 40
14 Padova Padova 36 40
15 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 36 39
16 Empoli Empoli 36 37
17 Pescara Pescara 36 34
18 Bari Bari 36 34
19 Reggiana Reggiana 36 34
20 Spezia Spezia 36 33
Lineups
Monza Monza 3-4-2-1
20 Demba Thiam Demba Thiam G 6.70
3 Lorenzo Lucchesi Lorenzo Lucchesi 89' D 7.20
15 Filippo Delli Carri Filippo Delli Carri D 7.20
13 Luca Ravanelli Luca Ravanelli D 6.90
7 Paulo Azzi Paulo Azzi M 7.00
32 Matteo Pessina Matteo Pessina 1 ⚽ M 8.30
14 Pedro Obiang Pedro Obiang 1 ⚽ 66' M 8.60
19 Samuele Birindelli Samuele Birindelli 67' M 7.70
47 Dany Mota Dany Mota 67' F 6.20
28 Andrea Colpani Andrea Colpani F 7.90
37 Andrea Petagna Andrea Petagna 1 👟 83' F 7.20
Bench
24 Adam Bakoune Adam Bakoune 29' D 7.30
25 Agustín Álvarez Agustín Álvarez 13' F 6.90
43 Aljaz Strajnar Aljaz Strajnar G
44 Andrea Carboni Andrea Carboni 7' D
2 Arvid Brorsson Arvid Brorsson D
30 Giuseppe Caso Giuseppe Caso 1 👟 29' M 7.50
8 Hernani Hernani M
21 Leonardo Colombo Leonardo Colombo 30' M 6.30
52 Mathis Mout Mathis Mout F
26 Patrick Ciurria Patrick Ciurria F
27 Samuele Capolupo Samuele Capolupo D
1 Semuel Pizzignacco Semuel Pizzignacco G
Bari Bari 3-4-2-1
1 Marco Pissardo Marco Pissardo G 7.30
13 Valerio Mantovani Valerio Mantovani D 7.00
26 Cas Odenthal Cas Odenthal D 6.90
51 Andrea Cistana Andrea Cistana D 6.90
28 Kevin Piscopo Kevin Piscopo 82' M 6.60
80 Federico Artioli Federico Artioli M 6.90
18 Giulio Maggiore Giulio Maggiore 66' M 7.00
30 Balla Moussa Mane Balla Moussa Mane 66' M 6.60
17 Emanuele Rao Emanuele Rao F 6.20
19 Tomás Esteves Tomás Esteves 82' F 6.30
11 Gabriele Moncini Gabriele Moncini 83' F 6.70
Bench
9 Christian Gytkjær Christian Gytkjær 13' F 6.70
66 Daouda Traore Daouda Traore M
12 Davide Marfella Davide Marfella G
43 Dimitrios Nikolaou Dimitrios Nikolaou D
37 Giacomo Stabile Giacomo Stabile D
90 Marvin Çuni Marvin Çuni 14' F 6.30
27 Matthias Braunöder Matthias Braunöder M
29 Matthias Verreth Matthias Verreth 30' M 6.60
93 Mehdi Dorval Mehdi Dorval 30' D 7.20
10 Nicola Bellomo Nicola Bellomo M
20 Nicolò Cavuoti Nicolò Cavuoti 14' M 6.50
8 Riccardo Pagano Riccardo Pagano M
Best on the pitch
Pedro Obiang
Pedro Obiang
M · Monza
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 62 pass
Matteo Pessina
Matteo Pessina
M · Monza
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 77 pass
Andrea Colpani
Andrea Colpani
F · Monza
7.90
2 shots · 41 pass
Samuele Birindelli
Samuele Birindelli
M · Monza
7.70
2 shots · 30 pass
Giuseppe Caso
Giuseppe Caso
M · Monza
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
Adam Bakoune
Adam Bakoune
D · Monza
7.30
· 4 pass
Monza Monza — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Demba Thiam G 96 6.70 45 32%
Lorenzo Lucchesi D 89 7.20 78 74%
Filippo Delli Carri D 96 7.20 1 52 49% 5
Luca Ravanelli D 96 6.90 1 39 32% 2
Paulo Azzi M 96 7.00 1 46 39%
Matteo Pessina M 96 8.30 1 2 77 66%
Pedro Obiang M 66 8.60 1 1 62 55%
Samuele Birindelli M 67 7.70 2 30 24% 2
Dany Mota F 67 6.20 26 26%
Andrea Colpani F 96 7.90 2 41 36% 5
Andrea Petagna F 83 7.20 1 1 24 19% 1
Adam Bakoune D 29 7.30 4 4% 2
Agustín Álvarez F 13 6.90 5 5%
Andrea Carboni D 7
Giuseppe Caso M 29 7.50 1 1 11 7%
Leonardo Colombo M 30 6.30 11 10%
Bari Bari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marco Pissardo G 96 7.30 24 15%
Valerio Mantovani D 96 7.00 34 25% 1
Cas Odenthal D 96 6.90 39 35% 5
Andrea Cistana D 96 6.90 20 15% 3
Kevin Piscopo M 82 6.60 15 11% 3
Federico Artioli M 96 6.90 1 43 37% 2
Giulio Maggiore M 66 7.00 23 20% 1 1
Balla Moussa Mane M 66 6.60 8 5% 1
Emanuele Rao F 96 6.20 1 12 7% 1
Tomás Esteves F 82 6.30 26 25%
Gabriele Moncini F 83 6.70 1 14 10%
Christian Gytkjær F 13 6.70 2 2%
Marvin Çuni F 14 6.30 5 3%
Matthias Verreth M 30 6.60 1 19 18%
Mehdi Dorval D 30 7.20 13 11% 1
Nicolò Cavuoti M 14 6.50 4 2%