← Ligue 1
#5 · 56 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#17 · 20 pts
Model correct — prediction Rennes
E. Lepaul 8' (pen.)
V. Rongier 90'+2
40' (ast. N. Cozza) I. Ganago
Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
8
1.31
Actual xG
2.39
6
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
8
10
Tackles
25
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
E. Lepaul (pen.)
8'
38'
N. Cozza
40'
ast. N. Cozza · I. Ganago
50'
D. Machado
59'
68'
B. Guirassy / L. Leroux
A. Seidu / M. Nagida
68'
L. Blas / S. Szymanski
68'
68'
D. Tabibou / M. Kaba
A. Ait Boudlal
73'
77'
M. Acapandie / F. Guilbert
B. Embolo / Y. Zabiri
81'
87'
Mostafa Mohamed / I. Ganago
87'
Y. El Arabi / M. Abline
V. Rongier
88'
M. Tamari / N. Mukiele
90'+1
V. Rongier
90'+2
S. Szymanski
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
78.52%
Rennes ←
13.76%
X
7.72%
Nantes
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rennes) 78.52% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rennes
2.64
1.31
-1.34
Nantes
0.62
2.39
+1.78
Nantes dominated by xG (2.39 vs 1.31). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 30 69
2 Lens Lens 30 63
3 Lille Lille 31 57
4 Lyon Lyon 31 57
5 Rennes Rennes 31 56
6 Marseille Marseille 31 53
7 Monaco Monaco 31 51
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 30 46
9 Lorient Lorient 31 41
10 Toulouse Toulouse 31 38
11 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 30 38
12 Paris FC Paris FC 31 38
13 Angers Angers 31 34
14 Le Havre Le Havre 31 31
15 Nice Nice 31 30
16 Auxerre Auxerre 31 25
17 Nantes Nantes 31 20
18 Metz Metz 31 16
Lineups
Rennes Rennes 4-4-2
30 Brice Samba Brice Samba G 7.90
26 Quentin Merlin Quentin Merlin D 7.20
3 Lilian Brassier Lilian Brassier D 7.70
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D 7.20
36 Alidu Seidu Alidu Seidu 68' D 7.20
11 Mousa Tamari Mousa Tamari 89' M 7.20
45 Mahdi Camara Mahdi Camara M 6.30
21 Valentin Rongier Valentin Rongier 1 ⚽ M 8.20
10 Ludovic Blas Ludovic Blas 68' M 6.20
9 Esteban Lepaul Esteban Lepaul 1 ⚽ F 7.30
7 Breel Embolo Breel Embolo 81' F 7.20
Bench
24 Anthony Rouault Anthony Rouault D
80 Ayoube Akabou Ayoube Akabou G
6 Djaoui Cissé Djaoui Cissé M
4 Glen Kamara Glen Kamara M
18 Mahamadou Nagida Mahamadou Nagida 22' D 7.00
50 Mathys Silistrie Mathys Silistrie G
65 Nordan Mukiele Nordan Mukiele 9' F 6.30
17 Sebastian Szymański Sebastian Szymański 22' M 6.90
77 Yassir Zabiri Yassir Zabiri 9' F 6.30
Nantes Nantes 4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Lopes Anthony Lopes G 6.90
27 Deiver Machado Deiver Machado D 6.70
3 Nicolas Cozza Nicolas Cozza 1 👟 D 8.20
2 Ali Youssef Ali Youssef D 7.00
24 Frederic Guilbert Frederic Guilbert 77' D 6.70
28 Ibrahima Sissoko Ibrahima Sissoko M 6.90
8 Johann Lepenant Johann Lepenant M 7.60
66 Louis Leroux Louis Leroux 68' M 6.30
10 Matthis Abline Matthis Abline 87' M 6.30
21 Mohamed Kaba Mohamed Kaba 68' M 6.30
37 Ignatius Ganago Ignatius Ganago 1 ⚽ 87' F 8.00
Bench
11 Bahereba Guirassy Bahereba Guirassy 22' F 6.70
52 Bahmed Deuff Bahmed Deuff M
6 Chidozie Awaziem Chidozie Awaziem D
17 Dehmaine Tabibou Dehmaine Tabibou 22' M 6.50
22 Mathieu Acapandié Mathieu Acapandié 13' D 6.50
31 Mostafa Mohamed Mostafa Mohamed 13' F 6.30
30 Patrik Carlgren Patrik Carlgren G
20 Rémy Cabella Rémy Cabella M
19 Youssef El Arabi Youssef El Arabi 13' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
Nicolas Cozza
Nicolas Cozza
D · Nantes
8.20
1 👟
2 shots · 26 pass
Valentin Rongier
Valentin Rongier
M · Rennes
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 64 pass
Ignatius Ganago
Ignatius Ganago
F · Nantes
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
Brice Samba
Brice Samba
G · Rennes
7.90
· 38 pass
Lilian Brassier
Lilian Brassier
D · Rennes
7.70
1 shots · 54 pass
Johann Lepenant
Johann Lepenant
M · Nantes
7.60
· 30 pass
Rennes Rennes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Brice Samba G 90 7.90 38 30%
Quentin Merlin D 90 7.20 39 23%
Lilian Brassier D 90 7.70 1 54 48% 1
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D 90 7.20 1 55 50% 2 1
Alidu Seidu D 68 7.20 31 28% 1
Mousa Tamari M 89 7.20 22 18% 1
Mahdi Camara M 90 6.30 1 43 41% 1
Valentin Rongier M 90 8.20 1 1 64 59% 2 1
Ludovic Blas M 68 6.20 27 23%
Esteban Lepaul F 90 7.30 1 3 27 22%
Breel Embolo F 81 7.20 14 13% 2
Mahamadou Nagida D 22 7.00 22 19%
Nordan Mukiele F 9 6.30 2 2%
Sebastian Szymański M 22 6.90 21 14% 1
Yassir Zabiri F 9 6.30 2 2 2%
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anthony Lopes G 90 6.90 33 24%
Deiver Machado D 90 6.70 24 19% 2 1
Nicolas Cozza D 90 8.20 1 2 26 20% 5 1
Ali Youssef D 90 7.00 36 31% 2
Frederic Guilbert D 77 6.70 2 17 9% 1
Ibrahima Sissoko M 90 6.90 1 22 18% 1
Johann Lepenant M 90 7.60 30 22% 6
Louis Leroux M 68 6.30 14 7% 2
Matthis Abline M 87 6.30 2 12 8%
Mohamed Kaba M 68 6.30 3 10 4% 4
Ignatius Ganago F 87 8.00 1 3 16 12% 1
Bahereba Guirassy F 22 6.70 1 1%
Dehmaine Tabibou M 22 6.50 7 4%
Mathieu Acapandié D 13 6.50 3 2% 1
Mostafa Mohamed F 13 6.30 1 1 1%
Youssef El Arabi F 13 6.50 3 1%