← Premier League
Premier League · Regular Season - 33 April 19, 2026 17:00
Nottingham Forest
#16 · 39 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Burnley
#19 · 20 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Nottingham Forest
M. Gibbs-White 62'
M. Gibbs-White (ast. O. Hutchinson) 69'
M. Gibbs-White (ast. R. Yates) 77'
Igor Jesus (ast. N. Dominguez) 90'+8
45'+2 (ast. Q. Hartman) Z. Flemming
Match statistics
7
Total shots
3
3
Shots on target
3
1.00
Actual xG
0.36
2
Saves
0
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
4
21
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ Murillo / Cunha
42'
45'+2
ast. Q. Hartman · Z. Flemming⚽
↕ D. Bakwa / Igor Jesus
46'
⚽M. Gibbs-White
62'
64'
L. Foster / M. Edwards ↕
⚽M. Gibbs-White · ast. O. Hutchinson
69'
75'
Florentino
76'
J. Bruun Larsen / L. Ugochukwu ↕
↕ C. Wood / R. Yates
76'
⚽M. Gibbs-White · ast. R. Yates
77'
80'
K. Walker
83'
L. Tchaouna / J. Anthony ↕
84'
J. Laurent / Florentino ↕
84'
A. Broja / Z. Flemming ↕
↕ O. Hutchinson / Morato
88'
↕ M. Gibbs-White / N. Dominguez
89'
⚽Igor Jesus · ast. N. Dominguez
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
60.14%
Nottingham ←
25.03%
X
14.83%
Burnley
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Nottingham Forest) 60.14% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nottingham
1.76
1.00
-0.76
Burnley
0.80
0.36
-0.44
Nottingham Forest dominated by xG (1.00 vs 0.36). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 34 73
2 Manchester City Manchester City 33 70
3 Manchester United Manchester United 34 61
4 Liverpool Liverpool 34 58
5 Aston Villa Aston Villa 34 58
6 Brighton Brighton 34 50
7 Bournemouth Bournemouth 34 49
8 Chelsea Chelsea 34 48
9 Brentford Brentford 34 48
10 Fulham Fulham 34 48
11 Everton Everton 34 47
12 Sunderland Sunderland 34 46
13 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 33 43
14 Newcastle Newcastle 34 42
15 Leeds Leeds 34 40
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 34 39
17 West Ham West Ham 34 36
18 Tottenham Tottenham 34 34
19 Burnley Burnley 34 20
20 Wolves Wolves 34 17
Lineups
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1
26 Matz Sels Matz Sels G 6.60
3 Neco Williams Neco Williams D 7.50
5 Murillo Murillo 42' D 7.20
31 Nikola Milenković Nikola Milenković D 5.90
34 Ola Aina Ola Aina D 6.30
8 Elliot Anderson Elliot Anderson M 7.30
6 Ibrahim Sangaré Ibrahim Sangaré M 7.30
21 Omari Hutchinson Omari Hutchinson 1 👟 88' M 6.90
10 Morgan Gibbs-White Morgan Gibbs-White 3 ⚽ 89' M 10.00
29 Dilane Bakwa Dilane Bakwa 45' M 6.50
11 Chris Wood Chris Wood 76' F 6.50
Bench
19 Igor Jesus Igor Jesus 1 ⚽ 51' F 6.60
23 Jair Jair 54' D 6.60
24 James McAtee James McAtee M
25 Luca Netz Luca Netz D
4 Morato Morato 8' D 6.30
16 Nicolás Domínguez Nicolás Domínguez 1 👟 7' M
22 Ryan Yates Ryan Yates 1 👟 20' M 6.90
27 Stefan Ortega Stefan Ortega G
9 Taiwo Awoniyi Taiwo Awoniyi F
Burnley Burnley 4-2-3-1
1 Martin Dúbravka Martin Dúbravka G 5.20
3 Quilindschy Hartman Quilindschy Hartman 1 👟 D 6.60
5 Maxime Estève Maxime Estève D 6.20
18 Hjalmar Ekdal Hjalmar Ekdal D 6.30
2 Kyle Walker Kyle Walker D 6.30
16 Florentino Luís Florentino Luís 83' M 6.00
20 James Ward-Prowse James Ward-Prowse M 6.20
11 Jaidon Anthony Jaidon Anthony 83' M 6.20
8 Lesley Ugochukwu Lesley Ugochukwu 76' M 6.20
10 Marcus Edwards Marcus Edwards 64' M 6.70
19 Zian Flemming Zian Flemming 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.30
Bench
27 Armando Broja Armando Broja 12' F 6.50
12 Bashir Humphreys Bashir Humphreys D
7 Jacob Bruun Larsen Jacob Bruun Larsen 20' F 6.50
4 Joe Worrall Joe Worrall D
29 Josh Laurent Josh Laurent 13' M 6.70
17 Loum Tchaouna Loum Tchaouna 13' F 6.50
9 Lyle Foster Lyle Foster 32' F 6.00
13 Max Weiss Max Weiss G
31 Mike Trésor Mike Trésor F
Best on the pitch
Morgan Gibbs-White
Morgan Gibbs-White
M · Nottingham
10.00
3 ⚽
5 shots · 30 pass
Neco Williams
Neco Williams
D · Nottingham
7.50
1 shots · 44 pass
Zian Flemming
Zian Flemming
F · Burnley
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Elliot Anderson
Elliot Anderson
M · Nottingham
7.30
· 76 pass
Ibrahim Sangaré
Ibrahim Sangaré
M · Nottingham
7.30
· 51 pass
Murillo
Murillo
D · Nottingham
7.20
· 31 pass
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matz Sels G 96 6.60 — — — 20 13% — — —
Neco Williams D 96 7.50 — — 1 44 35% 2 — —
Murillo D 42 7.20 — — — 31 27% 3 — —
Nikola Milenković D 96 5.90 — — — 45 39% — — —
Ola Aina D 96 6.30 — — — 50 42% 1 — —
Elliot Anderson M 96 7.30 — — — 76 57% 3 — —
Ibrahim Sangaré M 96 7.30 — — — 51 44% 3 — —
Omari Hutchinson M 88 6.90 — 1 — 29 25% 1 — —
Morgan Gibbs-White M 89 10.00 3 — 5 30 23% 2 — —
Dilane Bakwa M 45 6.50 — — — 12 10% 1 — —
Chris Wood F 76 6.50 — — 1 13 8% — — —
Igor Jesus F 51 6.60 1 — — 12 11% 3 — —
Jair D 54 6.60 — — — 32 28% — — —
Morato D 8 6.30 — — — 9 9% — — —
Nicolás Domínguez M 7 — — 1 — 10 10% 2 — —
Ryan Yates M 20 6.90 — 1 — 7 5% — — —
Burnley Burnley — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Martin Dúbravka G 96 5.20 — — — 45 33% — — —
Quilindschy Hartman D 96 6.60 — 1 — 51 39% 4 — —
Maxime Estève D 96 6.20 — — — 41 34% 4 — —
Hjalmar Ekdal D 96 6.30 — — — 48 42% — — —
Kyle Walker D 96 6.30 — — — 50 44% 1 1 —
Florentino Luís M 83 6.00 — — — 34 30% 5 1 —
James Ward-Prowse M 96 6.20 — — 1 63 54% — — —
Jaidon Anthony M 83 6.20 — — — 31 24% — — —
Lesley Ugochukwu M 76 6.20 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
Marcus Edwards M 64 6.70 — — — 18 15% 3 — —
Zian Flemming F 84 7.30 1 — 1 11 6% 1 — —
Armando Broja F 12 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
Jacob Bruun Larsen F 20 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
Josh Laurent M 13 6.70 — — — 7 4% 2 — —
Loum Tchaouna F 13 6.50 — — — 11 8% — — —
Lyle Foster F 32 6.00 — — 1 10 9% 1 — —