Premier League
· Regular Season - 34
April 25, 2026 20:30
✓Model correct — prediction Arsenal
E. Eze
(ast. K. Havertz)
9'
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
0.64
Actual xG
0.92
3
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
1
14
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽E. Eze
· ast. K. Havertz
9'
K. Havertz
/ V. Gyokeres
34'
E. Eze
/ G. Martinelli
54'
57'
D. Burn
66'
H. Barnes
/
J. Murphy
66'
Y. Wissa
/
W. Osula
G. Martinelli
71'
75'
N. Pope
M. Zubimendi
/ M. Lewis-Skelly
81'
N. Madueke
/ B. Saka
81'
D. Rice
86'
87'
A. Elanga
/
J. Willock
Pre-match prediction
65.52%
Arsenal ←
19.81%
X
14.66%
Newcastle
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Arsenal)
65.52%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.42
0.64
-1.78
1.13
0.92
-0.21
xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.92).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
5
Piero Hincapié
D
Piero Hincapié
D
6
Gabriel Magalhães
D
Gabriel Magalhães
D
2
William Saliba
D
William Saliba
D
4
Ben White
D
Ben White
D
41
Declan Rice
M
Declan Rice
M
36
Martín Zubimendi
81'
M
Martín Zubimendi
81'
M
8
Martin Odegaard
M
Martin Odegaard
M
10
Eberechi Eze
1 ⚽
53'
F
Eberechi Eze
1 ⚽
53'
F
29
Kai Havertz
1 👟
34'
F
Kai Havertz
1 👟
34'
F
20
Noni Madueke
81'
F
Noni Madueke
81'
F
Bench
7
Bukayo Saka
13'
F
Bukayo Saka
13'
F
3
Cristhian Mosquera
D
Cristhian Mosquera
D
9
Gabriel Jesus
F
Gabriel Jesus
F
11
Gabriel Martinelli
41'
F
Gabriel Martinelli
41'
F
13
Kepa Arrizabalaga
G
Kepa Arrizabalaga
G
19
Leandro Trossard
F
Leandro Trossard
F
56
Max Dowman
M
Max Dowman
M
49
Myles Lewis-Skelly
13'
D
Myles Lewis-Skelly
13'
D
14
Viktor Gyökeres
60'
F
Viktor Gyökeres
60'
F
1
Nick Pope
G
Nick Pope
G
33
Dan Burn
D
Dan Burn
D
4
Sven Botman
D
Sven Botman
D
12
Malick Thiaw
D
Malick Thiaw
D
67
Lewis Miley
D
Lewis Miley
D
8
Sandro Tonali
M
Sandro Tonali
M
41
Jacob Ramsey
M
Jacob Ramsey
M
39
Bruno Guimarães
75'
M
Bruno Guimarães
75'
M
28
Joe Willock
86'
M
Joe Willock
86'
M
23
Jacob Murphy
66'
M
Jacob Murphy
66'
M
18
William Osula
66'
F
William Osula
66'
F
Bench
32
Aaron Ramsdale
G
Aaron Ramsdale
G
37
Alex Murphy
D
Alex Murphy
D
20
Anthony Elanga
8'
F
Anthony Elanga
8'
F
11
Harvey Barnes
28'
M
Harvey Barnes
28'
M
2
Kieran Trippier
D
Kieran Trippier
D
3
Lewis Hall
D
Lewis Hall
D
27
Nick Woltemade
19'
F
Nick Woltemade
19'
F
62
Sean Neave
F
Sean Neave
F
9
Yoane Wissa
28'
F
Yoane Wissa
28'
F
Best on the pitch
Piero Hincapié
D · Arsenal
7.50
· 16 pass
Bruno Guimarães
M · Newcastle
7.30
1 shots
· 54 pass
Malick Thiaw
D · Newcastle
7.30
· 71 pass
Martín Zubimendi
M · Arsenal
7.30
· 47 pass
Martin Odegaard
M · Arsenal
7.30
1 shots
· 57 pass
Eberechi Eze
F · Arsenal
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
Arsenal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Piero Hincapié | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| William Saliba | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Ben White | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Declan Rice | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| Martin Odegaard | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Eberechi Eze | F | 53 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kai Havertz | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Noni Madueke | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Bukayo Saka | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | F | 41 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Viktor Gyökeres | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Newcastle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pope | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Dan Burn | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sven Botman | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Malick Thiaw | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 71 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| Lewis Miley | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Sandro Tonali | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Ramsey | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Joe Willock | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Murphy | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| William Osula | F | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Elanga | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Harvey Barnes | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Nick Woltemade | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Yoane Wissa | F | 28 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |