Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 32
April 05, 2026 17:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Heart Of Midlothian, result Pareggio
S. May
5'
L. Smith
(ast. J. Nouble)
58'
24'
(ast. M. Leonard)
L. Shankland
51'
(ast. L. Shankland)
C. Braga
Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
6
1.97
Actual xG
1.86
4
Saves
1
35%
Possession
65%
5
Corners
5
9
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. May
5'
Lewis Smith
22'
24'
ast. M. Leonard ·
L. Shankland⚽
Scott Arfield
34'
45'
Oisin McEntee
51'
ast. L. Shankland ·
C. Braga⚽
⚽L. Smith
· ast. J. Nouble
58'
S. Arfield
/ S. Pittman
65'
S. May
/ E. Danso
65'
77'
S. Kerjota
/
I. Chesnokov
C. Kerr
/ R. McGowan
78'
J. Nouble
/ R. Muirhead
78'
84'
J. Altena
/
S. Kingsley
B. Fati
/ S. Lawal
87'
89'
B. Baningime
/
C. Devlin
89'
B. Spittal
/
A. Kyziridis
90'+6
90'+7
Marc Leonard
Pre-match prediction
14.52%
Livingston
28.09%
X ←
57.39%
Heart
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.52
1.97
+1.45
1.44
1.86
+0.42
xG dominance was balanced (1.97 – 1.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
Jérôme Prior
G
Jérôme Prior
G
26
Cristian Montaño
D
Cristian Montaño
D
27
Danny Wilson
D
Danny Wilson
D
19
Daniel Finlayson
D
Daniel Finlayson
D
3
Babacar Fati
87'
M
Babacar Fati
87'
M
17
Stevie May
1 ⚽
65'
M
Stevie May
1 ⚽
65'
M
24
Mohammad Sylla
M
Mohammad Sylla
M
15
Lewis Smith
1 ⚽
M
Lewis Smith
1 ⚽
M
2
Cammy Kerr
78'
M
Cammy Kerr
78'
M
37
Scott Arfield
65'
F
Scott Arfield
65'
F
7
Joel Nouble
78'
F
Joel Nouble
78'
F
Bench
10
Barrie McKay
M
Barrie McKay
M
20
Emmanuel Danso
32'
M
Emmanuel Danso
32'
M
32
Jamie Smith
G
Jamie Smith
G
18
Jeremy Bokila
F
Jeremy Bokila
F
29
Joshua Zimmerman
F
Joshua Zimmerman
F
9
Robbie Muirhead
19'
F
Robbie Muirhead
19'
F
5
Ryan McGowan
19'
D
Ryan McGowan
19'
D
40
Samson Lawal
10'
M
Samson Lawal
10'
M
8
Scott Pittman
32'
F
Scott Pittman
32'
F
25
Alexander Schwolow
G
Alexander Schwolow
G
3
Stephen Kingsley
84'
D
Stephen Kingsley
84'
D
5
Jamie McCart
D
Jamie McCart
D
4
Craig Halkett
D
Craig Halkett
D
31
Oisin McEntee
D
Oisin McEntee
D
89
Alexandros Kyziridis
89'
M
Alexandros Kyziridis
89'
M
14
Cameron Devlin
89'
M
Cameron Devlin
89'
M
49
Marc Leonard
1 👟
M
Marc Leonard
1 👟
M
99
Islam Chesnokov
77'
M
Islam Chesnokov
77'
M
10
Cláudio Braga
1 ⚽
F
Cláudio Braga
1 ⚽
F
9
Lawrence Shankland
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Lawrence Shankland
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
17
Alan Forrest
F
Alan Forrest
F
6
Beni Baningime
8'
M
Beni Baningime
8'
M
16
Blair Spittal
8'
M
Blair Spittal
8'
M
23
Jordi Altena
13'
D
Jordi Altena
13'
D
15
Michael Steinwender
D
Michael Steinwender
D
11
Pierre Landry Kaboré
F
Pierre Landry Kaboré
F
74
Rogers Mato
F
Rogers Mato
F
30
Ryan Fulton
G
Ryan Fulton
G
29
Sabah Kerjota
20'
F
Sabah Kerjota
20'
F
Best on the pitch
Marc Leonard
M · Heart
8.30
1 👟
· 76 pass
Lawrence Shankland
F · Heart
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
7 shots
· 29 pass
Cameron Devlin
M · Heart
7.90
· 75 pass
Cristian Montaño
D · Livingston
7.90
1 shots
· 29 pass
Lewis Smith
M · Livingston
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Jamie McCart
D · Heart
7.50
· 89 pass
Livingston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jérôme Prior | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Montaño | D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Danny Wilson | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Finlayson | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Babacar Fati | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Stevie May | M | 65 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mohammad Sylla | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Lewis Smith | M | 97 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Cammy Kerr | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Scott Arfield | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Joel Nouble | F | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Danso | M | 32 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Robbie Muirhead | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ryan McGowan | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samson Lawal | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Scott Pittman | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Schwolow | G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Stephen Kingsley | D | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Jamie McCart | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 89 | 80% | — | — | — |
| Craig Halkett | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Oisin McEntee | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Cameron Devlin | M | 89 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | 6 | — | — |
| Marc Leonard | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 76 | 68% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Islam Chesnokov | M | 77 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 97 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 26 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Lawrence Shankland | F | 97 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Beni Baningime | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Blair Spittal | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jordi Altena | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sabah Kerjota | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |