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MLS · Regular Season - 10 April 26, 2026 03:30
FC Cincinnati
#9 · 12 pts
2 – 0
Final score
New York Red Bulls
#11 · 12 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Cincinnati
K. Denkey (ast. P. Bucha) 40'
K. Denkey 45'+5 (pen.)
Match statistics
12
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
6
2.86
Actual xG
1.44
6
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
7
23
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
J. Masanka Bungi
B. J. Ramirez Leon
31'
⚽K. Denkey · ast. P. Bucha
40'
⚽K. Denkey (pen.)
45'+5
46'
M. Dos Santos / J. Masanka Bungi ↕
↕ K. Mboma / T. Barlow
61'
↕ P. Bucha / E. Echenique
61'
62'
E. Forsberg / G. Berggren ↕
62'
J. Ruvalcaba / M. Sofo ↕
73'
R. Mosquera / C. Cowell ↕
78'
A. Mehmeti
↕ B. J. Ramirez Leon / A. Lajhar
79'
↕ K. Denkey / A. Jabbari
79'
85'
N. Benedetti / R. Donkor ↕
↕ K. Smith / G. Flores
89'
Pre-match prediction
61.34%
FC ←
19.07%
X
19.6%
New
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Cincinnati) 61.34% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
4.35
2.86
-1.49
New
1.43
1.44
+0.01
FC Cincinnati dominated by xG (2.86 vs 1.44). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 9 22
1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 10 27
2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 9 24
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 10 19
3 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 9 17
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 10 20
4 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 8 19
4 New England Revolution New England Revolution 9 16
5 Charlotte Charlotte 10 14
5 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 10 17
6 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 9 16
6 Toronto FC Toronto FC 10 13
7 New York City FC New York City FC 10 12
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 10 13
8 FC Dallas FC Dallas 10 13
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 10 12
9 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 10 12
9 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 9 12
10 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 10 12
10 DC United DC United 10 12
11 San Diego San Diego 10 11
11 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 10 12
12 CF Montreal CF Montreal 9 9
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 9 10
13 Austin Austin 10 10
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 10 7
14 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 10 7
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 9 6
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 9 4
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 10 5
Lineups
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
18 Roman Celentano Roman Celentano G 7.90
11 Samuel Gidi Samuel Gidi D 7.90
88 Andrei Chirila Andrei Chirila D 7.50
24 Kyle Smith Kyle Smith 89' D 7.00
29 Bryan Ramirez Bryan Ramirez 79' M 6.90
27 Tah Anunga Tah Anunga M 7.20
22 Gerardo Valenzuela Gerardo Valenzuela M 7.70
20 Pavel Bucha Pavel Bucha 1 👟 61' M 8.20
10 Evander Evander F 8.90
9 Kévin Denkey Kévin Denkey 2 ⚽ 79' F 8.00
17 Kenji Mboma Dem Kenji Mboma Dem 61' F 6.60
Bench
99 Ayoub Jabbari Ayoub Jabbari 11' F 6.70
55 Ayoub Lajhar Ayoub Lajhar 11' D 6.90
66 Ender Echenique Ender Echenique 29' F 7.00
13 Evan Louro Evan Louro G
93 Fabian Mrozek Fabian Mrozek G
3 Gilberto Flores Gilberto Flores 1' D
19 Stefan Chirilla Stefan Chirilla M
37 Stiven Jimenez Stiven Jimenez M
16 Tom Barlow Tom Barlow 29' F 6.20
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34 Ethan Horvath Ethan Horvath G 7.30
23 Joyeux Masanka Bungi Joyeux Masanka Bungi 45' D 5.30
26 Tim Parker Tim Parker D 6.70
12 Dylan Nealis Dylan Nealis D 7.70
3 Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty D 6.30
4 Gustav Berggren Gustav Berggren 62' M 6.70
15 Adri Mehmeti Adri Mehmeti M 6.70
48 Ronald Donkor Ronald Donkor 85' M 5.30
37 Mohammed Sofo Mohammed Sofo 62' F 6.50
16 Julian Hall Julian Hall F 5.90
7 Cade Cowell Cade Cowell 73' F 6.20
Bench
10 Emil Forsberg Emil Forsberg 28' M 7.00
13 Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting F
77 John McCarthy John McCarthy G
11 Jorge Ruvalcaba Jorge Ruvalcaba 28' F 6.30
20 Juan Mina Juan Mina D
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos 45' D 7.60
39 Nehuen Benedetti Nehuen Benedetti 10' M 6.60
79 Rafael Mosquera Rafael Mosquera 17' F 6.30
6 Robert Voloder Robert Voloder D
Best on the pitch
Evander
Evander
F · FC
8.90
4 shots · 33 pass
Pavel Bucha
Pavel Bucha
M · FC
8.20
1 👟
· 39 pass
Kévin Denkey
Kévin Denkey
F · FC
8.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
Roman Celentano
Roman Celentano
G · FC
7.90
· 27 pass
Samuel Gidi
Samuel Gidi
D · FC
7.90
· 65 pass
Gerardo Valenzuela
Gerardo Valenzuela
M · FC
7.70
1 shots · 44 pass
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Roman Celentano G 90 7.90 — — — 27 20% — — —
Samuel Gidi D 90 7.90 — — — 65 57% 4 — —
Andrei Chirila D 90 7.50 — — 1 63 52% — — —
Kyle Smith D 89 7.00 — — — 50 47% 1 — —
Bryan Ramirez M 79 6.90 — — 2 53 46% 4 1 —
Tah Anunga M 90 7.20 — — — 36 32% 3 — —
Gerardo Valenzuela M 90 7.70 — — 1 44 42% 3 — —
Pavel Bucha M 61 8.20 — 1 — 39 31% 2 — —
Evander F 90 8.90 — — 4 33 29% 1 — —
Kévin Denkey F 79 8.00 2 — 3 16 13% 1 — —
Kenji Mboma Dem F 61 6.60 — — 1 19 17% 1 — —
Ayoub Jabbari F 11 6.70 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Ayoub Lajhar D 11 6.90 — — — 3 — 2 — —
Ender Echenique F 29 7.00 — — — 6 5% — — —
Gilberto Flores D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Tom Barlow F 29 6.20 — — — 8 3% — — —
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ethan Horvath G 90 7.30 — — — 20 17% — — —
Joyeux Masanka Bungi D 45 5.30 — — — 12 8% 4 1 —
Tim Parker D 90 6.70 — — — 46 44% — — —
Dylan Nealis D 90 7.70 — — — 53 46% 2 — —
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty D 90 6.30 — — 1 68 62% 2 — —
Gustav Berggren M 62 6.70 — — 2 16 13% 1 — —
Adri Mehmeti M 90 6.70 — — — 66 55% 5 1 —
Ronald Donkor M 85 5.30 — — 1 41 36% — — —
Mohammed Sofo F 62 6.50 — — — 19 11% 1 — —
Julian Hall F 90 5.90 — — 1 8 7% — — —
Cade Cowell F 73 6.20 — — 4 23 19% 3 — —
Emil Forsberg M 28 7.00 — — 3 25 24% 1 — —
Jorge Ruvalcaba F 28 6.30 — — 2 30 26% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 45 7.60 — — 1 33 32% — — —
Nehuen Benedetti M 10 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
Rafael Mosquera F 17 6.30 — — 1 8 7% — — —