Liga MX
· Clausura - 14
April 13, 2026 05:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Toluca, result Pareggio
F. Rossi
72'
(pen.)
90'+7
Joao Pedro Galvao
Match statistics
21
Total shots
8
10
Shots on target
1
1.10
Actual xG
1.24
0
Saves
9
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
1
13
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Luan
33'
V. Arteaga
/ J. Diaz
46'
Luan
/ E. del Villar
46'
D. Barbosa
/ S. Simon
46'
58'
A. Duarte
/
L. Flores
S. Cordova
/ N. Castro
63'
⚽F. Rossi
72'
73'
M. Garcia
/
R. Meraz
73'
D. Rodriguez
/
J. Medina
F. Rossi
/ F. Romero
75'
83'
S. Munoz
/
O. Macias
P. Perez
90'+3
90'+3
A. Cruz
S. Simon
90'+6
90'+7
(pen.)
Joao Pedro Galvao⚽
Pre-match prediction
75.19%
Toluca
15.25%
X ←
9.56%
Atletico
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
15.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.62
1.10
-1.52
0.81
1.24
+0.43
xG dominance was balanced (1.10 – 1.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Hugo Gonzalez
G
Hugo Gonzalez
G
17
Mauricio Andre Isais
D
Mauricio Andre Isais
D
13
Luan Garcia
45'
D
Luan Garcia
45'
D
3
Antonio Briseño
D
Antonio Briseño
D
2
Diego Barbosa
45'
D
Diego Barbosa
45'
D
24
Fernando Arce Juárez
M
Fernando Arce Juárez
M
33
Victor Arteaga
45'
M
Victor Arteaga
45'
M
9
Alexis Vega
M
Alexis Vega
M
15
Pavel Pérez
M
Pavel Pérez
M
7
Sebastián Córdova
63'
M
Sebastián Córdova
63'
M
27
Franco Rossi
1 ⚽
75'
F
Franco Rossi
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
4
Bruno Méndez
D
Bruno Méndez
D
25
Everardo López
45'
D
Everardo López
45'
D
5
Franco Romero
15'
M
Franco Romero
15'
M
10
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
M
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
M
29
Jorge Díaz
45'
M
Jorge Díaz
45'
M
250
Jose Estrada
M
Jose Estrada
M
22
Luis García
G
Luis García
G
8
Nicolás Castro
27'
M
Nicolás Castro
27'
M
23
Oswaldo Virgen
F
Oswaldo Virgen
F
19
Santiago Simón
45'
M
Santiago Simón
45'
M
1
Andrés Sánchez
G
Andrés Sánchez
G
18
Aldo Cruz
D
Aldo Cruz
D
31
Eduardo Águila
D
Eduardo Águila
D
6
Juanpe
D
Juanpe
D
2
Román Torres
D
Román Torres
D
21
Oscar Macías
83'
M
Oscar Macías
83'
M
5
Roberto Meraz
73'
M
Roberto Meraz
73'
M
10
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge
M
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge
M
20
Leonardo Flores
58'
M
Leonardo Flores
58'
M
28
Jesús Medina
73'
M
Jesús Medina
73'
M
9
João Pedro Galvão
1 ⚽
F
João Pedro Galvão
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
Anderson Duarte
32'
F
Anderson Duarte
32'
F
7
Benjamín Galdames
M
Benjamín Galdames
M
30
Benjamín Galindo
D
Benjamín Galindo
D
11
David Rodriguez
17'
M
David Rodriguez
17'
M
34
Gibran Lajud
G
Gibran Lajud
G
4
Julio Cesar Dominguez
D
Julio Cesar Dominguez
D
15
Lucas Esteves
D
Lucas Esteves
D
14
Miguel Alonso García
17'
M
Miguel Alonso García
17'
M
3
Robson Bambu
D
Robson Bambu
D
19
Santiago Muñoz
15'
F
Santiago Muñoz
15'
F
Best on the pitch
Andrés Sánchez
G · Atletico
8.20
· 32 pass
Diego Barbosa
D · Toluca
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
Alexis Vega
M · Toluca
7.30
4 shots
· 46 pass
Juanpe
D · Atletico
7.30
· 56 pass
Jesús Medina
M · Atletico
7.20
1 shots
· 21 pass
Fernando Arce Juárez
M · Toluca
7.20
1 shots
· 81 pass
Toluca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gonzalez | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Andre Isais | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Garcia | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| Antonio Briseño | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Barbosa | D | 45 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 74% | 3 | — | — |
| Victor Arteaga | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexis Vega | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 46 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Pavel Pérez | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Córdova | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Franco Rossi | F | 75 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 6 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Everardo López | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Franco Romero | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Díaz | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Castro | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Simón | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
Atletico San Luis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Sánchez | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Aldo Cruz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Águila | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Juanpe | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Román Torres | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Macías | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Roberto Meraz | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Sébastien Salles-Lamonge | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Flores | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Medina | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| João Pedro Galvão | F | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Anderson Duarte | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| David Rodriguez | M | 17 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Alonso García | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Muñoz | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |