Serie A
· Regular Season - 33
April 18, 2026 17:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Udinese, result Parma vince
51'
(ast. G. Strefezza)
N. Elphege
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
1.13
Actual xG
1.23
0
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
10
Corners
5
11
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
46'
N. Elphege
/
M. Pellegrino
51'
ast. G. Strefezza ·
N. Elphege⚽
J. Piotrowski
/ I. Gueye
64'
H. Kamara
/ J. Arizala
64'
66'
C. Ordonez
/
A. Bernabe
66'
J. Ondrejka
/
G. Strefezza
N. Zaniolo
70'
72'
N. Estevez
/
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
K. Ehizibue
/ O. Zarraga
73'
J. Ekkelenkamp
/ A. Buksa
73'
75'
S. Britschgi
/
A. Ndiaye
T. Kristensen
/ B. Mlacic
81'
J. Karlstrom
84'
Pre-match prediction
51.71%
Udinese
31.78%
X
16.51%
Parma ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Parma)
16.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
1.13
-0.02
0.55
1.23
+0.68
xG dominance was balanced (1.13 – 1.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
Maduka Okoye
G
Maduka Okoye
G
28
Oumar Solet
D
Oumar Solet
D
27
Christian Kabasele
D
Christian Kabasele
D
31
Thomas Kristensen
81'
D
Thomas Kristensen
81'
D
11
Hassane Kamara
64'
M
Hassane Kamara
64'
M
24
Jakub Piotrowski
64'
M
Jakub Piotrowski
64'
M
8
Jesper Karlstrom
M
Jesper Karlstrom
M
19
Kingsley Ehizibue
73'
M
Kingsley Ehizibue
73'
M
10
Nicolò Zaniolo
F
Nicolò Zaniolo
F
14
Arthur Atta
F
Arthur Atta
F
32
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp
73'
F
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp
73'
F
Bench
29
Abdoulaye Camara
M
Abdoulaye Camara
M
18
Adam Buksa
24'
F
Adam Buksa
24'
F
22
Branimir Mlačić
16'
D
Branimir Mlačić
16'
D
93
Daniele Padelli
G
Daniele Padelli
G
7
Idrissa Gueye
33'
F
Idrissa Gueye
33'
F
20
Juan Arizala
33'
M
Juan Arizala
33'
M
38
Lennon Miller
M
Lennon Miller
M
6
Oier Zarraga
24'
M
Oier Zarraga
24'
M
90
Răzvan Sava
G
Răzvan Sava
G
15
Vakoun Bayo
F
Vakoun Bayo
F
31
Zion Suzuki
G
Zion Suzuki
G
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
75'
D
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
75'
D
37
Mariano Troilo
D
Mariano Troilo
D
39
Alessandro Circati
D
Alessandro Circati
D
14
Emanuele Valeri
M
Emanuele Valeri
M
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
72'
M
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
72'
M
16
Mandela Keita
M
Mandela Keita
M
10
Adrián Bernabé
66'
M
Adrián Bernabé
66'
M
15
Enrico Delprato
M
Enrico Delprato
M
7
Gabriel Strefezza
1 👟
66'
F
Gabriel Strefezza
1 👟
66'
F
9
Mateo Pellegrino
45'
F
Mateo Pellegrino
45'
F
Bench
24
Christian Ordoñez
31'
M
Christian Ordoñez
31'
M
40
Edoardo Corvi
G
Edoardo Corvi
G
66
Filippo Rinaldi
G
Filippo Rinaldi
G
29
Franco Carboni
D
Franco Carboni
D
21
Gaetano Oristanio
M
Gaetano Oristanio
M
17
Jacob Ondrejka
31'
F
Jacob Ondrejka
31'
F
5
Lautaro Valenti
D
Lautaro Valenti
D
8
Nahuel Estévez
25'
M
Nahuel Estévez
25'
M
23
Nesta Elphege
1 ⚽
52'
F
Nesta Elphege
1 ⚽
52'
F
22
Oliver Sørensen
M
Oliver Sørensen
M
11
Pontus Almqvist
F
Pontus Almqvist
F
27
Sascha Britschgi
22'
D
Sascha Britschgi
22'
D
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Strefezza
F · Parma
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
Oumar Solet
D · Udinese
7.90
· 77 pass
Zion Suzuki
G · Parma
7.70
· 36 pass
Nesta Elphege
F · Parma
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Mandela Keita
M · Parma
7.30
· 40 pass
Emanuele Valeri
M · Parma
7.20
· 24 pass
Udinese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduka Okoye | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Oumar Solet | D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Christian Kabasele | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Kristensen | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Hassane Kamara | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakub Piotrowski | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesper Karlstrom | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolò Zaniolo | F | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Atta | F | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Jürgen Ekkelenkamp | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Buksa | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Branimir Mlačić | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Idrissa Gueye | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Juan Arizala | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Oier Zarraga | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Parma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Suzuki | G | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Ndiaye | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Mariano Troilo | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Circati | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Emanuele Valeri | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Hans Nicolussi Caviglia | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Mandela Keita | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián Bernabé | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Enrico Delprato | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Strefezza | F | 66 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Christian Ordoñez | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Ondrejka | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Estévez | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Nesta Elphege | F | 52 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sascha Britschgi | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |