← Bundesliga
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 11, 2026 17:30
RB Leipzig
#3 · 62 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Borussia Mönchengladbach
#11 · 32 pts
✓Model correct — prediction RB Leipzig
Y. Diomande (ast. C. Baumgartner) 80'
Match statistics
18
Total shots
10
11
Shots on target
3
2.25
Actual xG
1.79
2
Saves
11
52%
Possession
48%
11
Corners
4
15
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Ridle Baku
33'
33'
H. Bolin / L. Ullrich ↕
35'
Joseph Scally
Nicolas Seiwald
47'
62'
F. C. Chiarodia / K. Diks ↕
↕ Romulo Cardoso / J. Bakayoko
66'
↕ A. Nusa / A. Ouedraogo
66'
Xaver Schlager
78'
↕ N. Seiwald / B. Gruda
78'
↕ R. Baku / B. Henrichs
78'
⚽Y. Diomande · ast. C. Baumgartner
80'
Brajan Gruda
82'
85'
K. Stoger / J. Castrop ↕
85'
S. Machino / Y. Engelhardt ↕
85'
W. Mohya / F. Honorat ↕
↕ Y. Diomande / M. Finkgrafe
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
71.13%
RB ←
16.09%
X
12.77%
Borussia
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig) 71.13% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
RB
2.66
2.25
-0.41
Borussia
1.05
1.79
+0.74
RB Leipzig dominated by xG (2.25 vs 1.79). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 31 82
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 31 67
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 31 62
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 31 57
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 31 57
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 31 55
7 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 31 43
8 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 31 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 31 37
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 31 34
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 32
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 31 32
13 Union Berlin Union Berlin 31 32
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 31 31
15 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 31 31
16 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 31 26
17 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 31 25
18 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 31 22
Lineups
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-3-3
26 Maarten Vandevoordt Maarten Vandevoordt G 7.70
22 David Raum David Raum D 8.30
5 El Chadaille Bitshiabu El Chadaille Bitshiabu D 7.00
4 Willi Orbán Willi Orbán D 8.30
17 Ridle Baku Ridle Baku 78' D 7.20
24 Xaver Schlager Xaver Schlager M 6.90
13 Nicolas Seiwald Nicolas Seiwald 78' M 6.90
14 Christoph Baumgartner Christoph Baumgartner 1 👟 M 7.20
7 Antonio Nusa Antonio Nusa 66' F 6.70
40 Rômulo Rômulo 66' F 5.60
49 Yan Diomande Yan Diomande 1 ⚽ 89' F 9.70
Bench
20 Assan Ouédraogo Assan Ouédraogo 24' M 6.60
39 Benjamin Henrichs Benjamin Henrichs 12' D 6.60
10 Brajan Gruda Brajan Gruda 12' F 7.00
6 Ezechiel Banzuzi Ezechiel Banzuzi M
9 Johan Bakayoko Johan Bakayoko 24' F 6.60
16 Lukas Klostermann Lukas Klostermann D
35 Max Finkgräfe Max Finkgräfe 1' D
1 Peter Gulacsi Peter Gulacsi G
27 Tidiam Gomis Tidiam Gomis F
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-3-3
33 Moritz Nicolas Moritz Nicolas G 8.90
26 Lukas Ullrich Lukas Ullrich 33' D 6.60
4 Kevin Diks Kevin Diks 62' D 7.20
30 Nico Elvedi Nico Elvedi D 8.00
29 Joseph Scally Joseph Scally D 6.20
6 Yannik Engelhardt Yannik Engelhardt 85' M 6.60
16 Philipp Sander Philipp Sander M 6.70
27 Rocco Reitz Rocco Reitz M 7.30
17 Jens Castrop Jens Castrop 85' F 6.60
15 Haris Tabaković Haris Tabaković F 7.30
9 Franck Honorat Franck Honorat 85' F 6.90
Bench
2 Fabio Chiarodia Fabio Chiarodia 28' D 7.20
10 Florian Neuhaus Florian Neuhaus M
13 Giovanni Reyna Giovanni Reyna M
38 Hugo Bolin Hugo Bolin 57' M 6.90
23 Jan Olschowsky Jan Olschowsky G
7 Kevin Stöger Kevin Stöger 12' M 6.30
14 Kota Takai Kota Takai D
18 Shuto Machino Shuto Machino 12' F 6.30
36 Wael Mohya Wael Mohya 12' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Yan Diomande
Yan Diomande
F · RB
9.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 48 pass
Moritz Nicolas
Moritz Nicolas
G · Borussia
8.90
· 40 pass
David Raum
David Raum
D · RB
8.30
3 shots · 38 pass
Willi Orbán
Willi Orbán
D · RB
8.30
· 56 pass
Nico Elvedi
Nico Elvedi
D · Borussia
8.00
· 64 pass
Maarten Vandevoordt
Maarten Vandevoordt
G · RB
7.70
· 33 pass
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Maarten Vandevoordt G 90 7.70 — — — 33 24% — — —
David Raum D 90 8.30 — — 3 38 30% 2 — —
El Chadaille Bitshiabu D 90 7.00 — — — 51 47% — — —
Willi Orbán D 90 8.30 — — — 56 47% 3 — —
Ridle Baku D 78 7.20 — — 3 43 38% 1 1 —
Xaver Schlager M 90 6.90 — — 1 39 34% 1 1 —
Nicolas Seiwald M 78 6.90 — — 1 42 41% 3 1 —
Christoph Baumgartner M 90 7.20 — 1 3 28 20% — — —
Antonio Nusa F 66 6.70 — — — 16 10% 1 — —
Rômulo F 66 5.60 — — 4 15 13% 1 — —
Yan Diomande F 89 9.70 1 — 1 48 37% 2 — —
Assan Ouédraogo M 24 6.60 — — 1 10 9% — — —
Benjamin Henrichs D 12 6.60 — — — 4 3% — — —
Brajan Gruda F 12 7.00 — — — 3 2% 1 1 —
Johan Bakayoko F 24 6.60 — — 1 14 13% — — —
Max Finkgräfe D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Moritz Nicolas G 90 8.90 — — — 40 27% — — —
Lukas Ullrich D 33 6.60 — — 1 15 12% 1 — —
Kevin Diks D 62 7.20 — — — 39 36% 1 — —
Nico Elvedi D 90 8.00 — — — 64 56% 1 — —
Joseph Scally D 90 6.20 — — — 32 21% 1 1 —
Yannik Engelhardt M 85 6.60 — — — 36 29% 1 — —
Philipp Sander M 90 6.70 — — — 49 40% 2 — —
Rocco Reitz M 90 7.30 — — 2 37 28% 1 — —
Jens Castrop F 85 6.60 — — 3 26 14% 2 — —
Haris Tabaković F 90 7.30 — — 2 23 14% 1 — —
Franck Honorat F 85 6.90 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
Fabio Chiarodia D 28 7.20 — — 1 15 13% 6 — —
Hugo Bolin M 57 6.90 — — 1 10 6% 2 — —
Kevin Stöger M 12 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Shuto Machino F 12 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Wael Mohya M 12 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —