Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 31
April 25, 2026 17:30
✓Model correct — prediction Bayern München
D. Kohr
(ast. K. Sano)
15'
P. Nebel
29'
S. Becker
45'+2
53'
(ast. K. Laimer)
N. Jackson
73'
(ast. K. Laimer)
M. Olise
80'
J. Musiala
83'
H. Kane
Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
6
2.29
Actual xG
1.97
2
Saves
5
30%
Possession
70%
2
Corners
4
22
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽D. Kohr
· ast. K. Sano
15'
D. Kohr
20'
⚽P. Nebel
29'
33'
K. Laimer
⚽S. Becker
45'+2
46'
H. Kane
/
A. Pavlovic
46'
M. Olise
/
L. Diaz
53'
ast. K. Laimer ·
N. Jackson⚽
57'
J. Stanisic
/
A. Davies
57'
J. Musiala
/
R. Guerreiro
S. Becker
/ A. Sieb
71'
73'
ast. K. Laimer ·
M. Olise⚽
77'
J. Tah
/
B. Ndiaye
N. Amiri
/ L. Maloney
79'
S. Widmer
/ A. Caci
80'
80'
J. Musiala⚽
83'
H. Kane⚽
D. Kohr
/ N. Weiper
86'
P. Nebel
/ W. Boving
87'
90'+8
M. Olise
Pre-match prediction
20.4%
FSV
17.03%
X
62.58%
Bayern ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München)
62.58%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
2.29
+0.53
3.08
1.97
-1.11
FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (2.29 vs 1.97).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
Daniel Batz
G
Daniel Batz
G
31
Dominik Kohr
1 ⚽
85'
D
Dominik Kohr
1 ⚽
85'
D
4
Stefan Posch
D
Stefan Posch
D
21
Danny da Costa
D
Danny da Costa
D
2
Phillipp Mwene
M
Phillipp Mwene
M
10
Nadiem Amiri
79'
M
Nadiem Amiri
79'
M
6
Kaishu Sano
1 👟
M
Kaishu Sano
1 👟
M
8
Paul Nebel
1 ⚽
85'
M
Paul Nebel
1 ⚽
85'
M
30
Silvan Widmer
80'
M
Silvan Widmer
80'
M
20
Phillip Tietz
F
Phillip Tietz
F
23
Sheraldo Becker
1 ⚽
71'
F
Sheraldo Becker
1 ⚽
71'
F
Bench
19
Anthony Caci
16'
D
Anthony Caci
16'
D
11
Armindo Sieb
25'
F
Armindo Sieb
25'
F
48
Kacper Potulski
D
Kacper Potulski
D
15
Lennard Maloney
17'
M
Lennard Maloney
17'
M
44
Nelson Weiper
11'
F
Nelson Weiper
11'
F
22
Nikolas Veratschnig
D
Nikolas Veratschnig
D
27
Robin Zentner
G
Robin Zentner
G
24
Sota Kawasaki
M
Sota Kawasaki
M
14
William Bøving
11'
F
William Bøving
11'
F
40
Jonas Urbig
G
Jonas Urbig
G
19
Alphonso Davies
57'
D
Alphonso Davies
57'
D
21
Hiroki Itō
D
Hiroki Itō
D
3
Min-jae Kim
D
Min-jae Kim
D
27
Konrad Laimer
2 👟
D
Konrad Laimer
2 👟
D
45
Aleksandar Pavlović
45'
M
Aleksandar Pavlović
45'
M
39
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
77'
M
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
77'
M
14
Luis Díaz
45'
M
Luis Díaz
45'
M
8
Leon Goretzka
M
Leon Goretzka
M
22
Raphael Guerreiro
57'
M
Raphael Guerreiro
57'
M
11
Nicolas Jackson
1 ⚽
F
Nicolas Jackson
1 ⚽
F
Bench
33
Bastian Assomo
F
34
Deniz Ofli
D
Deniz Ofli
D
43
Filip Pavić
D
Filip Pavić
D
9
Harry Kane
1 ⚽
51'
F
Harry Kane
1 ⚽
51'
F
10
Jamal Musiala
1 ⚽
39'
M
Jamal Musiala
1 ⚽
39'
M
4
Jonathan Tah
19'
D
Jonathan Tah
19'
D
44
Josip Stanišić
39'
D
Josip Stanišić
39'
D
1
Manuel Neuer
G
Manuel Neuer
G
17
Michael Olise
1 ⚽
51'
M
Michael Olise
1 ⚽
51'
M
Best on the pitch
Michael Olise
M · Bayern
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Nicolas Jackson
F · Bayern
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
Sheraldo Becker
F · FSV
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 11 pass
Jamal Musiala
M · Bayern
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
Harry Kane
F · Bayern
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Kaishu Sano
M · FSV
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 22 pass
FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Batz | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Kohr | D | 85 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Stefan Posch | D | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Danny da Costa | D | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Phillipp Mwene | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Nadiem Amiri | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Kaishu Sano | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Paul Nebel | M | 85 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Silvan Widmer | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Phillip Tietz | F | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Sheraldo Becker | F | 71 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Anthony Caci | D | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Armindo Sieb | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Lennard Maloney | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Nelson Weiper | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| William Bøving | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Bayern München — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Urbig | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Alphonso Davies | D | 57 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Hiroki Itō | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 78 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| Min-jae Kim | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 98 | 92% | 1 | — | — |
| Konrad Laimer | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 68 | 64% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Aleksandar Pavlović | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Bara Sapoko Ndiaye | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 58% | 4 | — | — |
| Luis Díaz | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Leon Goretzka | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Raphael Guerreiro | M | 57 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Jackson | F | 96 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Harry Kane | F | 51 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jamal Musiala | M | 39 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Tah | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Josip Stanišić | D | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Michael Olise | M | 51 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |