Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 31
April 26, 2026 19:30
✓Model correct — prediction Borussia Dortmund
M. Beier
(ast. R. Bensebaini)
8'
S. Guirassy
(ast. J. Brandt)
14'
R. Bensebaini
(ast. J. Ryerson)
31'
F. Silva
87'
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
4
3.59
Actual xG
0.74
4
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
0
18
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽M. Beier
· ast. R. Bensebaini
8'
⚽S. Guirassy
· ast. J. Brandt
14'
⚽R. Bensebaini
· ast. J. Ryerson
31'
55'
J. Bellingham
65'
67'
J. Beste
/
V. Grifo
67'
M. Philipp
/
I. Matanovic
S. Inacio
/ D. Svensson
74'
75'
C. Irie
/
D. Scherhant
75'
A. Jung
/
P. Lienhart
J. Brandt
/ C. Chukwuemeka
84'
S. Guirassy
/ F. Silva
84'
84'
R. Tarnutzer
/
N. Hofler
⚽F. Silva
87'
J. Bellingham
/ S. Ozcan
88'
M. Beier
/ M. Albert
89'
Pre-match prediction
59.62%
Borussia ←
19.91%
X
20.47%
SC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund)
59.62%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.26
3.59
+1.33
1.35
0.74
-0.61
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (3.59 vs 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Gregor Kobel
G
Gregor Kobel
G
5
Ramy Bensebaini
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Ramy Bensebaini
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
D
Nico Schlotterbeck
D
3
Waldemar Anton
D
Waldemar Anton
D
14
Maximilian Beier
1 ⚽
89'
M
Maximilian Beier
1 ⚽
89'
M
7
Jobe Bellingham
88'
M
Jobe Bellingham
88'
M
20
Marcel Sabitzer
M
Marcel Sabitzer
M
26
Julian Ryerson
1 👟
M
Julian Ryerson
1 👟
M
40
Samuele Inacio
74'
F
Samuele Inacio
74'
F
10
Julian Brandt
1 👟
84'
F
Julian Brandt
1 👟
84'
F
9
Serhou Guirassy
1 ⚽
84'
F
Serhou Guirassy
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
33
Alexander Meyer
G
Alexander Meyer
G
17
Carney Chukwuemeka
11'
M
Carney Chukwuemeka
11'
M
24
Daniel Svensson
21'
D
Daniel Svensson
21'
D
21
Fábio Silva
1 ⚽
11'
F
Fábio Silva
1 ⚽
11'
F
39
Filippo Mané
D
Filippo Mané
D
49
Luca Reggiani
D
Luca Reggiani
D
41
Mathis Albert
6'
F
Mathis Albert
6'
F
6
Salih Özcan
7'
M
Salih Özcan
7'
M
2
Yan Couto
D
Yan Couto
D
1
Noah Atubolu
G
Noah Atubolu
G
30
Christian Günter
D
Christian Günter
D
3
Philipp Lienhart
75'
D
Philipp Lienhart
75'
D
43
Bruno Ogbus
D
Bruno Ogbus
D
17
Lukas Kübler
D
Lukas Kübler
D
27
Nicolas Höfler
84'
M
Nicolas Höfler
84'
M
8
Maximilian Eggestein
M
Maximilian Eggestein
M
32
Vincenzo Grifo
67'
M
Vincenzo Grifo
67'
M
9
Lucas Höler
M
Lucas Höler
M
7
Derry Scherhant
75'
M
Derry Scherhant
75'
M
31
Igor Matanović
67'
F
Igor Matanović
67'
F
Bench
5
Anthony Jung
20'
D
Anthony Jung
20'
D
22
Cyriaque Irié
20'
F
Cyriaque Irié
20'
F
21
Florian Müller
G
Florian Müller
G
19
Jan-Niklas Beste
28'
D
Jan-Niklas Beste
28'
D
65
Karl Steinmann
D
Karl Steinmann
D
26
Maximilian Philipp
28'
F
Maximilian Philipp
28'
F
29
Philipp Treu
D
Philipp Treu
D
69
Rouven Tarnutzer
11'
M
Rouven Tarnutzer
11'
M
Best on the pitch
Ramy Bensebaini
D · Borussia
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 64 pass
Maximilian Beier
M · Borussia
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Gregor Kobel
G · Borussia
8.00
· 43 pass
Nico Schlotterbeck
D · Borussia
7.90
· 72 pass
Julian Ryerson
M · Borussia
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 36 pass
Waldemar Anton
D · Borussia
7.70
· 81 pass
Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | G | 95 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Ramy Bensebaini | D | 95 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 64 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Waldemar Anton | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 81 | 71% | 4 | — | — |
| Maximilian Beier | M | 89 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Jobe Bellingham | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marcel Sabitzer | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Julian Ryerson | M | 95 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuele Inacio | F | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Julian Brandt | F | 84 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 50 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Serhou Guirassy | F | 84 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Carney Chukwuemeka | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Svensson | D | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Fábio Silva | F | 11 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mathis Albert | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Salih Özcan | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Atubolu | G | 95 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Christian Günter | D | 95 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Ogbus | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Maximilian Eggestein | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Vincenzo Grifo | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Höler | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Derry Scherhant | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Matanović | F | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Anthony Jung | D | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Cyriaque Irié | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | D | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Philipp | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rouven Tarnutzer | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |