Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 31
April 24, 2026 22:30
✓Model correct — prediction RB Leipzig
M. Finkgrafe
22'
Romulo Cardoso
25'
R. Baku
(ast. Y. Diomande)
63'
78'
(ast. J. Juranovic)
D. Doekhi
Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
1
3.82
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
6
67%
Possession
33%
10
Corners
4
15
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Finkgrafe
22'
⚽Romulo Cardoso
25'
31'
C. Klaus
/
F. Ronnow
C. Baumgartner
34'
59'
I. Ansah
/
A. Ilic
59'
A. Kemlein
/
J. Haberer
59'
J. Juranovic
/
C. Trimmel
⚽R. Baku
· ast. Y. Diomande
63'
A. Ouedraogo
/ C. Harder
68'
Romulo Cardoso
/ B. Gruda
68'
78'
ast. J. Juranovic ·
D. Doekhi⚽
Y. Diomande
/ J. Bakayoko
79'
R. Baku
/ B. Henrichs
79'
83'
L. Burcu
/
A. Schafer
84'
D. Leite
A. Nusa
/ T. Gomis
90'
Pre-match prediction
77.99%
RB ←
12.72%
X
9.29%
Union
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig)
77.99%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.24
3.82
+0.58
0.89
0.18
-0.71
RB Leipzig dominated by xG (3.82 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
Maarten Vandevoordt
G
Maarten Vandevoordt
G
35
Max Finkgräfe
1 ⚽
D
Max Finkgräfe
1 ⚽
D
5
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
D
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
D
4
Willi Orban
D
Willi Orban
D
17
Ridle Baku
1 ⚽
79'
D
Ridle Baku
1 ⚽
79'
D
14
Christoph Baumgartner
M
Christoph Baumgartner
M
24
Xaver Schlager
M
Xaver Schlager
M
20
Assan Ouédraogo
68'
M
Assan Ouédraogo
68'
M
7
Antonio Nusa
F
Antonio Nusa
F
40
Rômulo
1 ⚽
68'
F
Rômulo
1 ⚽
68'
F
49
Yan Diomande
1 👟
79'
F
Yan Diomande
1 👟
79'
F
Bench
33
Andrija Maksimović
M
Andrija Maksimović
M
39
Benjamin Henrichs
15'
D
Benjamin Henrichs
15'
D
10
Brajan Gruda
26'
F
Brajan Gruda
26'
F
11
Conrad Harder
26'
F
Conrad Harder
26'
F
9
Johan Bakayoko
15'
F
Johan Bakayoko
15'
F
19
Kosta Nedeljković
D
Kosta Nedeljković
D
16
Lukas Klostermann
D
Lukas Klostermann
D
1
Péter Gulácsi
G
Péter Gulácsi
G
27
Tidiam Gomis
4'
F
Tidiam Gomis
4'
F
1
Frederik Ronnow
31'
G
Frederik Ronnow
31'
G
4
Diogo Leite
D
Diogo Leite
D
14
Leopold Querfeld
D
Leopold Querfeld
D
5
Danilho Doekhi
1 ⚽
D
Danilho Doekhi
1 ⚽
D
15
Tom Rothe
M
Tom Rothe
M
19
Janik Haberer
60'
M
Janik Haberer
60'
M
8
Rani Khedira
M
Rani Khedira
M
13
András Schäfer
83'
M
András Schäfer
83'
M
28
Christopher Trimmel
60'
M
Christopher Trimmel
60'
M
23
Andrej Ilić
59'
F
Andrej Ilić
59'
F
7
Oliver Burke
F
Oliver Burke
F
Bench
33
Alex Král
M
Alex Král
M
6
Aljoscha Kemlein
34'
M
Aljoscha Kemlein
34'
M
25
Carl Klaus
63'
G
Carl Klaus
63'
G
39
Derrick Köhn
D
Derrick Köhn
D
10
Ilyas Ansah
35'
F
Ilyas Ansah
35'
F
18
Josip Juranović
1 👟
34'
D
Josip Juranović
1 👟
34'
D
9
Livan Burcu
11'
F
Livan Burcu
11'
F
34
Stanley N'Soki
D
Stanley N'Soki
D
21
Tim Skarke
M
Tim Skarke
M
Best on the pitch
Ridle Baku
D · RB
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 57 pass
Yan Diomande
F · RB
8.20
1 👟
· 39 pass
Max Finkgräfe
D · RB
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 65 pass
Xaver Schlager
M · RB
7.60
· 82 pass
Danilho Doekhi
D · Union
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Willi Orban
D · RB
7.50
· 91 pass
RB Leipzig — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Vandevoordt | G | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Max Finkgräfe | D | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 65 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 89 | 81% | 1 | — | — |
| Willi Orban | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 91 | 80% | 4 | — | — |
| Ridle Baku | D | 79 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 57 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Christoph Baumgartner | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 5 | 41 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Xaver Schlager | M | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 82 | 78% | 3 | — | — |
| Assan Ouédraogo | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Nusa | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Rômulo | F | 68 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Yan Diomande | F | 79 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Benjamin Henrichs | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Brajan Gruda | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Conrad Harder | F | 26 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Johan Bakayoko | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tidiam Gomis | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Union Berlin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Ronnow | G | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Leite | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Leopold Querfeld | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Danilho Doekhi | D | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Tom Rothe | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Janik Haberer | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Rani Khedira | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| András Schäfer | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Christopher Trimmel | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrej Ilić | F | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Burke | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Aljoscha Kemlein | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Carl Klaus | G | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ilyas Ansah | F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Josip Juranović | D | 34 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Livan Burcu | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |