MLS

USA · Season 2026

72.20%

1X2 accuracy · 18 predictions (3 months)

League Table + proiezioni fine stagione

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form	Play Off: 1/8	Play Off: 1/16
1	Nashville SC	9	7	1	1	21–6	+15	22	V V V S V	97.85%	99.60%
2	Inter Miami	10	5	4	1	19–15	+4	19	P V V P P	53.44%	76.86%
3	Chicago Fire	9	5	2	2	17–8	+9	17	V P V V V	69.99%	86.20%
4	New England Revolution	9	5	1	3	17–12	+5	16	P V V V V	53.79%	75.14%
5	Charlotte	10	4	2	4	18–18	+0	14	S S V S V	12.90%	29.92%
6	Toronto FC	10	3	4	3	17–19	-2	13	S P P P V	2.85%	8.82%
7	New York City FC	10	3	3	4	19–16	+3	12	S P S S P	4.07%	12.23%
8	Columbus Crew	10	3	3	4	14–13	+1	12	V V S P V	5.97%	16.23%
9	FC Cincinnati	10	3	3	4	19–23	-4	12	V P P P S	<1%	1.81%
10	DC United	10	3	3	4	11–15	-4	12	V P P S S	<1%	2.26%
11	New York Red Bulls	10	3	3	4	16–25	-9	12	S P S P V	<1%	<1%
12	CF Montreal	9	3	0	6	13–20	-7	9	V V S S S	<1%	1.68%
13	Atlanta United FC	10	2	1	7	9–17	-8	7	V S S S S	<1%	<1%
14	Orlando City SC	10	2	1	7	12–29	-17	7	S V S P S	—	<1%
15	Philadelphia Union	10	1	2	7	9–17	-8	5	S P P V S	<1%	<1%

Play Off: 1/8 Play Off: 1/16 % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 30 Apr 2026

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form	Play Off: 1/8	Play Off: 1/16
1	San Jose Earthquakes	10	9	0	1	25–6	+19	27	V V V V V	99.54%	>99%
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	9	8	0	1	25–5	+20	24	V V V V S	99.56%	>99%
3	Los Angeles FC	10	6	2	2	17–6	+11	20	V P S S V	66.08%	84.63%
4	Seattle Sounders	8	6	1	1	12–4	+8	19	V V V P V	83.38%	93.92%
5	Minnesota United FC	10	5	2	3	11–14	-3	17	S V V V V	5.22%	15.04%
6	Real Salt Lake	9	5	1	3	17–14	+3	16	S S V V P	26.08%	47.82%
7	Colorado Rapids	10	4	1	5	22–18	+4	13	S P S V S	11.00%	25.17%
8	FC Dallas	10	3	4	3	18–15	+3	13	S S P P V	4.92%	13.74%
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	10	3	3	4	15–16	-1	12	V S P V S	<1%	2.46%
10	Houston Dynamo	9	4	0	5	12–18	-6	12	S V V S S	<1%	1.61%
11	San Diego	10	3	2	5	17–17	+0	11	S S S S S	<1%	1.71%
12	Austin	10	2	4	4	14–19	-5	10	V S P S P	<1%	<1%
13	Portland Timbers	9	3	1	5	13–19	-6	10	V S V S P	<1%	1.30%
14	St. Louis City	9	1	3	5	9–16	-7	6	S S P P V	<1%	<1%
15	Sporting Kansas City	9	1	1	7	7–25	-18	4	S S S S S	—	—

Play Off: 1/8 Play Off: 1/16 % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 30 Apr 2026

Upcoming matches

May 02, 2026

May 03, 2026

Model calibration for this league

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	13	55.00%	61.5%	+6.50%
60–70%%	5	65.00%	100.0%	+35.00%

Basato su 18 previsioni verificate · Δ ≤ 5% = ottima calibrazione

xG: who scores more (or less) than they deserve

#	Team	Goals	xG	Δ
1	Nashville SC	21	13.58	+7.42
2	New England Revolution	17	10.45	+6.55
3	Colorado Rapids	22	16.09	+5.91
4	Toronto FC	17	11.57	+5.43
5	New York City FC	19	14.17	+4.83
6	FC Dallas	18	13.66	+4.34
7	Los Angeles FC	17	13.22	+3.78
8	Austin	14	10.27	+3.73
9	Charlotte	18	14.74	+3.26
10	Seattle Sounders	12	8.91	+3.09
11	Portland Timbers	13	10.02	+2.98
12	San Diego	17	14.04	+2.96
13	San Jose Earthquakes	25	22.11	+2.89
14	FC Cincinnati	19	17.29	+1.71
15	Columbus Crew	14	12.33	+1.67
16	Inter Miami	19	17.52	+1.48
17	Sporting Kansas City	7	5.53	+1.47
18	Orlando City SC	12	10.68	+1.32
19	Real Salt Lake	17	15.88	+1.12
20	Houston Dynamo	12	10.92	+1.08
21	CF Montreal	13	11.99	+1.01
22	Chicago Fire	17	16.88	+0.12
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	15.01	-0.01
24	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	25.39	-0.39
25	New York Red Bulls	16	16.74	-0.74
26	DC United	11	11.86	-0.86
27	St. Louis City	9	10.19	-1.19
28	Atlanta United FC	9	11.36	-2.36
29	Philadelphia Union	9	12.07	-3.07
30	Minnesota United FC	11	15.11	-4.11

Δ = Goals scored − accumulated xG · green = overperforms, red = underperforms