La Liga
· Regular Season - 30
April 04, 2026 18:15
✗Model wrong — prediction Real Madrid, result Mallorca vince
M. Morlanes
(ast. P. Maffeo)
41'
V. Muriqi
(ast. M. Joseph)
90'
88'
(ast. T. Alexander-Arnold)
Eder Militao
Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
6
1.22
Actual xG
1.27
5
Saves
0
36%
Possession
64%
6
Corners
4
14
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Morlanes
· ast. P. Maffeo
41'
47'
Dean Huijsen
59'
Eder Militao
/
D. Huijsen
59'
Vinicius Junior
/
M. A. Moran
59'
J. Bellingham
/
E. Camavinga
Leo Román
66'
M. Morlanes
/ M. Joseph
70'
Samu Costa
/ D. Lopez
70'
P. Torre
/ J. Virgili
70'
72'
T. Pitarch
/
A. Guler
76'
F. Mastantuono
/
B. Diaz
Z. Luvumbo
/ A. Sanchez
81'
Martin Valjent
84'
88'
ast. T. Alexander-Arnold ·
Eder Militao⚽
Pablo Maffeo
90'+5
90'
Franco Mastantuono
⚽V. Muriqi
· ast. M. Joseph
90'
Pre-match prediction
23.12%
Mallorca ←
20.37%
X
56.52%
Real
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Mallorca)
23.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.10
1.22
+0.12
2.15
1.27
-0.88
xG dominance was balanced (1.22 – 1.27).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Roman
G
L. Roman
G
22
J. Mojica
D
J. Mojica
D
5
O. Mascarell
D
O. Mascarell
D
24
M. Valjent
D
M. Valjent
D
23
P. Maffeo
1 👟
D
P. Maffeo
1 👟
D
8
M. Morlanes
1 ⚽
70'
M
M. Morlanes
1 ⚽
70'
M
10
S. Darder
M
S. Darder
M
12
Samu Costa
70'
M
Samu Costa
70'
M
20
P. Torre
70'
M
P. Torre
70'
M
15
Z. Luvumbo
81'
F
Z. Luvumbo
81'
F
7
V. Muriqi
1 ⚽
F
V. Muriqi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
A. Prats
F
A. Prats
F
6
A. Sanchez
9'
M
A. Sanchez
9'
M
27
D. Lopez
20'
D
D. Lopez
20'
D
30
J. Kalumba
F
J. Kalumba
F
19
J. Llabres
F
J. Llabres
F
17
J. Virgili
20'
F
J. Virgili
20'
F
18
M. Joseph
1 👟
20'
F
M. Joseph
1 👟
20'
F
4
M. Kumbulla
D
M. Kumbulla
D
2
M. Morey Bauza
D
M. Morey Bauza
D
25
Pichu Cuellar
G
Pichu Cuellar
G
11
T. Asano
F
T. Asano
F
3
T. Lato
D
T. Lato
D
13
A. Lunin
G
A. Lunin
G
18
A. Carreras
D
A. Carreras
D
24
D. Huijsen
59'
D
D. Huijsen
59'
D
22
A. Rudiger
D
A. Rudiger
D
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
1 👟
D
T. Alexander-Arnold
1 👟
D
15
A. Guler
72'
M
A. Guler
72'
M
6
E. Camavinga
59'
M
E. Camavinga
59'
M
14
A. Tchouameni
M
A. Tchouameni
M
37
M. A. Moran
59'
M
M. A. Moran
59'
M
10
K. Mbappe
F
K. Mbappe
F
21
B. Diaz
76'
F
B. Diaz
76'
F
Bench
38
C. Palacios
M
C. Palacios
M
4
D. Alaba
D
D. Alaba
D
2
D. Carvajal
D
D. Carvajal
D
3
Eder Militao
1 ⚽
31'
D
Eder Militao
1 ⚽
31'
D
20
F. Garcia
D
F. Garcia
D
30
F. Mastantuono
14'
F
F. Mastantuono
14'
F
26
Fran
G
Fran
G
16
G. Garcia
F
G. Garcia
F
5
J. Bellingham
31'
M
J. Bellingham
31'
M
17
R. Asencio
D
R. Asencio
D
45
T. Pitarch
18'
M
T. Pitarch
18'
M
7
Vinicius Junior
31'
F
Vinicius Junior
31'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Roman
G · Mallorca
7.50
· 44 pass
Eder Militao
D · Real
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
A. Tchouameni
M · Real
7.50
2 shots
· 50 pass
M. Morlanes
M · Mallorca
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
S. Darder
M · Mallorca
7.30
1 shots
· 43 pass
V. Muriqi
F · Mallorca
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Mallorca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Roman | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Mojica | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Mascarell | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Valjent | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Maffeo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Morlanes | M | 70 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Darder | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Samu Costa | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Torre | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Z. Luvumbo | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| V. Muriqi | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sanchez | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Lopez | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Virgili | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Joseph | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lunin | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Carreras | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 81 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Huijsen | D | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Rudiger | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Alexander-Arnold | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 53 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Guler | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Camavinga | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Tchouameni | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| M. A. Moran | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mbappe | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| B. Diaz | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Eder Militao | D | 31 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Mastantuono | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Pitarch | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinicius Junior | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |