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#17 · 35 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#2 · 74 pts
Model wrong — prediction Real Madrid, result Mallorca vince
M. Morlanes (ast. P. Maffeo) 41'
V. Muriqi (ast. M. Joseph) 90'
88' (ast. T. Alexander-Arnold) Eder Militao
Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
6
1.22
Actual xG
1.27
5
Saves
0
36%
Possession
64%
6
Corners
4
14
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Morlanes · ast. P. Maffeo
41'
47'
Dean Huijsen
59'
Eder Militao / D. Huijsen
59'
Vinicius Junior / M. A. Moran
59'
J. Bellingham / E. Camavinga
Leo Román
66'
M. Morlanes / M. Joseph
70'
Samu Costa / D. Lopez
70'
P. Torre / J. Virgili
70'
72'
T. Pitarch / A. Guler
76'
F. Mastantuono / B. Diaz
Z. Luvumbo / A. Sanchez
81'
Martin Valjent
84'
88'
ast. T. Alexander-Arnold · Eder Militao
Pablo Maffeo
90'+5
90'
Franco Mastantuono
V. Muriqi · ast. M. Joseph
90'
Pre-match prediction
23.12%
Mallorca ←
20.37%
X
56.52%
Real
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Mallorca) 23.12% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mallorca
1.10
1.22
+0.12
Real
2.15
1.27
-0.88
xG dominance was balanced (1.22 – 1.27). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 33 85
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 33 74
3 Villarreal Villarreal 33 65
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 33 60
5 Real Betis Real Betis 33 50
6 Getafe Getafe 33 44
7 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 33 44
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 33 43
9 Osasuna Osasuna 33 42
10 Athletic Club Athletic Club 33 41
11 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 33 39
12 Valencia Valencia 33 39
13 Espanyol Espanyol 33 39
14 Elche Elche 33 38
15 Girona Girona 33 38
16 Alaves Alaves 33 36
17 Mallorca Mallorca 33 35
18 Sevilla Sevilla 33 34
19 Levante Levante 33 33
20 Oviedo Oviedo 33 28
Lineups
Mallorca Mallorca 4-3-1-2
1 L. Roman L. Roman G 7.50
22 J. Mojica J. Mojica D 6.30
5 O. Mascarell O. Mascarell D 6.30
24 M. Valjent M. Valjent D 6.90
23 P. Maffeo P. Maffeo 1 👟 D 6.90
8 M. Morlanes M. Morlanes 1 ⚽ 70' M 7.50
10 S. Darder S. Darder M 7.30
12 Samu Costa Samu Costa 70' M 6.30
20 P. Torre P. Torre 70' M 6.90
15 Z. Luvumbo Z. Luvumbo 81' F 6.20
7 V. Muriqi V. Muriqi 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
9 A. Prats A. Prats F
6 A. Sanchez A. Sanchez 9' M 6.30
27 D. Lopez D. Lopez 20' D 6.60
30 J. Kalumba J. Kalumba F
19 J. Llabres J. Llabres F
17 J. Virgili J. Virgili 20' F 6.30
18 M. Joseph M. Joseph 1 👟 20' F 6.90
4 M. Kumbulla M. Kumbulla D
2 M. Morey Bauza M. Morey Bauza D
25 Pichu Cuellar Pichu Cuellar G
11 T. Asano T. Asano F
3 T. Lato T. Lato D
Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-4-2
13 A. Lunin A. Lunin G 6.30
18 A. Carreras A. Carreras D 6.50
24 D. Huijsen D. Huijsen 59' D 6.90
22 A. Rudiger A. Rudiger D 6.90
12 T. Alexander-Arnold T. Alexander-Arnold 1 👟 D 6.90
15 A. Guler A. Guler 72' M 7.20
6 E. Camavinga E. Camavinga 59' M 6.60
14 A. Tchouameni A. Tchouameni M 7.50
37 M. A. Moran M. A. Moran 59' M 6.70
10 K. Mbappe K. Mbappe F 6.60
21 B. Diaz B. Diaz 76' F 6.70
Bench
38 C. Palacios C. Palacios M
4 D. Alaba D. Alaba D
2 D. Carvajal D. Carvajal D
3 Eder Militao Eder Militao 1 ⚽ 31' D 7.50
20 F. Garcia F. Garcia D
30 F. Mastantuono F. Mastantuono 14' F 6.30
26 Fran Fran G
16 G. Garcia G. Garcia F
5 J. Bellingham J. Bellingham 31' M 6.30
17 R. Asencio R. Asencio D
45 T. Pitarch T. Pitarch 18' M 6.50
7 Vinicius Junior Vinicius Junior 31' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
L. Roman
L. Roman
G · Mallorca
7.50
· 44 pass
Eder Militao
Eder Militao
D · Real
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 20 pass
A. Tchouameni
A. Tchouameni
M · Real
7.50
2 shots · 50 pass
M. Morlanes
M. Morlanes
M · Mallorca
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
S. Darder
S. Darder
M · Mallorca
7.30
1 shots · 43 pass
V. Muriqi
V. Muriqi
F · Mallorca
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
Mallorca Mallorca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Roman G 90 7.50 44 29% 1
J. Mojica D 90 6.30 33 24% 2
O. Mascarell D 90 6.30 43 40% 1
M. Valjent D 90 6.90 33 27% 1 1
P. Maffeo D 90 6.90 1 21 10% 1 1
M. Morlanes M 70 7.50 1 2 16 15%
S. Darder M 90 7.30 1 43 38% 2
Samu Costa M 70 6.30 21 17% 2
P. Torre M 70 6.90 27 25%
Z. Luvumbo F 81 6.20 5 3% 1
V. Muriqi F 90 7.30 1 2 12 7% 1
A. Sanchez M 9 6.30 3 1% 1
D. Lopez D 20 6.60 1 1% 1
J. Virgili F 20 6.30 2 1% 1
M. Joseph F 20 6.90 1 6 6% 1
Real Madrid Real Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Lunin G 90 6.30 33 30%
A. Carreras D 90 6.50 81 75% 1
D. Huijsen D 59 6.90 43 41% 3 1
A. Rudiger D 90 6.90 1 61 52% 1
T. Alexander-Arnold D 90 6.90 1 53 44% 1
A. Guler M 72 7.20 1 43 33% 1
E. Camavinga M 59 6.60 46 43% 3
A. Tchouameni M 90 7.50 2 50 46% 2
M. A. Moran M 59 6.70 1 33 30% 1
K. Mbappe F 90 6.60 4 33 28%
B. Diaz F 76 6.70 24 22%
Eder Militao D 31 7.50 1 2 20 19% 1
F. Mastantuono F 14 6.30 7 6% 1
J. Bellingham M 31 6.30 20 15% 1
T. Pitarch M 18 6.50 11 9% 1
Vinicius Junior F 31 6.90 1 10 7%