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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28 April 06, 2026 21:45

Arouca

#11 · 35 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Estoril

#10 · 37 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Arouca

I. Barbero (ast. N. Djouahra) 13'

J. Fontan (ast. I. Barbero) 45'+2

P. Gozalbez (ast. Tiago Esgaio) 55'

3' (ast. J. Carvalho) Xeka

32' (ast. A. Lacximicant) Y. Begraoui

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.98

Actual xG

1.16

Saves

46%

Possession

54%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. J. Carvalho · Xeka⚽

⚽I. Barbero · ast. N. Djouahra

13'

23'

J. Holsgrove

32'

ast. A. Lacximicant · Y. Begraoui⚽

⚽J. Fontan · ast. I. Barbero

45'+2

⚽P. Gozalbez · ast. Tiago Esgaio

55'

P. Gozalbez

56'

65'

P. Carvalho / P. Amaral ↕

65'

A. Marques / Xeka ↕

65'

Pizzi / J. Carvalho ↕

71'

A. Lacximicant

74'

Peixinho / A. Lacximicant ↕

↕ P. Gozalbez / Puche

77'

↕ T. Fukui / B. Mansilla

83'

↕ I. Barbero / Pedro Santos

83'

I. De Arruabarrena

90'+1

Puche

90'+7

↕ N. Djouahra / F. Mayulu

90'

↕ H. Lee / M. Flores

90'

Pre-match prediction

51.26%

Arouca ←

22.22%

26.52%

Estoril

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Arouca) 51.26% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Arouca

1.92

1.98

+0.06

Estoril

1.21

1.16

-0.05

Arouca dominated by xG (1.98 vs 1.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	31	82
2	Benfica	31	75
3	Sporting CP	31	73
4	SC Braga	31	56
5	Famalicao	31	51
6	GIL Vicente	31	49
7	Guimaraes	31	42
8	Moreirense	31	39
9	Alverca	31	38
10	Estoril	31	37
11	Arouca	31	35
12	Rio Ave	31	34
13	Santa Clara	31	32
14	Nacional	31	31
15	Estrela	31	28
16	Casa Pia	31	26
17	Tondela	31	22
18	AVS	31	14

Lineups

Arouca 4-2-3-1

Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 5.60

Bas Kuipers D 6.70

Jose Fontán 1 ⚽ D 7.20

Javi Sánchez D 6.60

Tiago Esgaio 1 👟 D 7.20

Taichi Fukui 83' M 6.90

Espen Van Ee M 6.70

Naïs Djouahra 1 👟 89' M 7.70

Hyun-ju Lee 89' M 6.90

Pablo Gozálbez 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.20

Ivan Barbero 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' F 8.00

Bench

Amadou Dante D

Boris Popović D

Brian Mansilla 16' F 6.30

Diogo Monteiro D

Fally Mayulu 9' F 6.60

João Valido G

Mateo Flores 9' M 6.30

Miguel Puche 13' F 6.50

Pedro Santos 16' M 6.90

Estoril 4-3-1-2

Joel Robles G 5.90

Pedro Amaral 65' D 5.70

Felix Bacher D 6.30

Antef Tsoungui D 6.00

Ricard Sánchez D 6.20

Jordan Holsgrove M 6.90

Xeka 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.50

Jandro Orellana M 6.30

João Carvalho 1 👟 65' M 6.30

André Lacximicant 1 👟 74' F 6.50

Yanis Begraoui 1 ⚽ F 7.60

Bench

Alejandro Marqués 25' F 6.30

Diogo Dias G

Luis Gomes M

Martin Turk G

Nodar Lominadze M

Pedro Carvalho 25' D 6.70

Peixinho 16' F 6.20

Pizzi 25' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

Ivan Barbero

F · Arouca

8.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 14 pass

Naïs Djouahra

M · Arouca

7.70

1 👟

· 23 pass

Yanis Begraoui

F · Estoril

7.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 27 pass

Xeka

M · Estoril

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 36 pass

Pablo Gozálbez

M · Arouca

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 24 pass

Tiago Esgaio

D · Arouca

7.20

1 👟

1 shots · 36 pass

Arouca — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Ignacio de Arruabarrena	G	90	5.60	—	—	—	46	29%	—	1	—
Bas Kuipers	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	15	13%	3	—	—
Jose Fontán	D	90	7.20	1	—	1	57	48%	1	—	—
Javi Sánchez	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	52	45%	1	—	—
Tiago Esgaio	D	90	7.20	—	1	1	36	28%	—	—	—
Taichi Fukui	M	83	6.90	—	—	1	40	33%	—	—	—
Espen Van Ee	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	48	45%	3	—	—
Naïs Djouahra	M	89	7.70	—	1	—	23	19%	1	—	—
Hyun-ju Lee	M	89	6.90	—	—	—	33	30%	—	—	—
Pablo Gozálbez	M	77	7.20	1	—	2	24	18%	4	1	—
Ivan Barbero	F	83	8.00	1	1	4	14	12%	—	—	—
Brian Mansilla	F	16	6.30	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
Fally Mayulu	F	9	6.60	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
Mateo Flores	M	9	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Miguel Puche	F	13	6.50	—	—	2	6	5%	—	1	—
Pedro Santos	M	16	6.90	—	—	—	8	7%	1	—	—

Estoril — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Joel Robles	G	90	5.90	—	—	—	30	24%	—	—	—
Pedro Amaral	D	65	5.70	—	—	—	27	20%	—	—	—
Felix Bacher	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	74	67%	2	—	—
Antef Tsoungui	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	59	51%	—	—	—
Ricard Sánchez	D	90	6.20	—	—	2	31	29%	3	—	—
Jordan Holsgrove	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	92	73%	—	1	—
Xeka	M	65	7.50	1	—	1	36	28%	2	—	—
Jandro Orellana	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	38	33%	—	—	—
João Carvalho	M	65	6.30	—	1	1	28	19%	1	—	—
André Lacximicant	F	74	6.50	—	1	2	10	7%	—	1	—
Yanis Begraoui	F	90	7.60	1	—	3	27	21%	1	—	—
Alejandro Marqués	F	25	6.30	—	—	—	9	9%	—	—	—
Pedro Carvalho	D	25	6.70	—	—	1	8	6%	1	—	—
Peixinho	F	16	6.20	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
Pizzi	M	25	6.50	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—