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La Liga · Regular Season - 33 April 21, 2026 23:30
Real Madrid
#2 · 74 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Alaves
#16 · 36 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Real Madrid
K. Mbappe (ast. A. Guler) 30'
Vinicius Junior (ast. F. Valverde) 50'
90'+3 (ast. A. Guevara) T. Martinez
Match statistics
17
Total shots
12
8
Shots on target
5
1.63
Actual xG
2.11
4
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
9
Corners
6
16
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽K. Mbappe · ast. A. Guler
30'
A. Tchouameni
35'
↕ Eder Militao / A. Rudiger
45'+2
⚽Vinicius Junior · ast. F. Valverde
50'
58'
P. Ibanez / D. Suarez ↕
↕ J. Bellingham / B. Diaz
58'
↕ A. Guler / F. Mastantuono
58'
58'
C. Alena / J. Guridi ↕
↕ T. Alexander-Arnold / D. Carvajal
63'
↕ A. Tchouameni / E. Camavinga
63'
66'
I. Diabate / L. Boye ↕
66'
Calebe / Yusi ↕
75'
A. Guevara / A. Blanco ↕
90'+3
ast. A. Guevara · T. Martinez⚽
90'
A. Perez
Pre-match prediction
78.37%
Real ←
12.73%
X
8.91%
Alaves
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid) 78.37% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Real
3.14
1.63
-1.51
Alaves
0.96
2.11
+1.15
Alaves dominated by xG (2.11 vs 1.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 33 85
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 33 74
3 Villarreal Villarreal 33 65
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 33 60
5 Real Betis Real Betis 33 50
6 Getafe Getafe 33 44
7 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 33 44
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 33 43
9 Osasuna Osasuna 33 42
10 Athletic Club Athletic Club 33 41
11 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 33 39
12 Valencia Valencia 33 39
13 Espanyol Espanyol 33 39
14 Elche Elche 33 38
15 Girona Girona 33 38
16 Alaves Alaves 33 36
17 Mallorca Mallorca 33 35
18 Sevilla Sevilla 33 34
19 Levante Levante 33 33
20 Oviedo Oviedo 33 28
Lineups
Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-4-2
13 A. Lunin A. Lunin G 7.30
18 A. Carreras A. Carreras D 7.20
24 D. Huijsen D. Huijsen D 8.90
3 Eder Militao Eder Militao 44' D 7.00
12 T. Alexander-Arnold T. Alexander-Arnold 63' D 7.70
15 A. Guler A. Guler 1 👟 58' M 7.30
14 A. Tchouameni A. Tchouameni 63' M 6.90
5 J. Bellingham J. Bellingham 58' M 7.30
8 F. Valverde F. Valverde 1 👟 M 7.20
7 Vinicius Junior Vinicius Junior 1 ⚽ F 9.50
10 K. Mbappe K. Mbappe 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
22 A. Rudiger A. Rudiger 46' D 7.20
21 B. Diaz B. Diaz 32' M 6.00
4 D. Alaba D. Alaba D
2 D. Carvajal D. Carvajal 27' D 6.20
19 D. Ceballos D. Ceballos M
6 E. Camavinga E. Camavinga 27' M 6.30
20 F. Garcia F. Garcia D
30 F. Mastantuono F. Mastantuono 32' F 6.30
23 F. Mendy F. Mendy D
16 G. Garcia G. Garcia F
43 S. Mestre S. Mestre G
45 T. Pitarch T. Pitarch M
Alaves Alaves 5-3-2
1 A. Sivera A. Sivera G 5.60
3 Yusi Yusi 66' D 6.30
24 V. Parada V. Parada D 6.90
14 N. Tenaglia N. Tenaglia D 7.50
17 Jonny Otto Jonny Otto D 6.90
7 A. Perez A. Perez D 6.30
4 D. Suarez D. Suarez 58' M 6.20
8 A. Blanco A. Blanco 75' M 7.30
18 J. Guridi J. Guridi 58' M 6.30
15 L. Boye L. Boye 66' F 5.90
11 T. Martinez T. Martinez 1 ⚽ F 6.50
Bench
6 A. Guevara A. Guevara 1 👟 15' M 6.90
34
A. Manas
20 Calebe Calebe 24' M 6.60
10 C. Alena C. Alena 32' M 6.60
27
E. Munoz
31 G. Swiderski G. Swiderski G
22 I. Diabate I. Diabate 24' F 6.50
5 J. Pacheco J. Pacheco D
9 M. Diaz M. Diaz F
19 P. Ibanez P. Ibanez 32' M 7.00
13 R. Fernandez R. Fernandez G
16 V. Koski V. Koski D
Best on the pitch
Vinicius Junior
Vinicius Junior
F · Real
9.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 43 pass
D. Huijsen
D. Huijsen
D · Real
8.90
· 73 pass
K. Mbappe
K. Mbappe
F · Real
8.20
1 ⚽
6 shots · 42 pass
T. Alexander-Arnold
T. Alexander-Arnold
D · Real
7.70
1 shots · 65 pass
N. Tenaglia
N. Tenaglia
D · Alaves
7.50
· 17 pass
A. Lunin
A. Lunin
G · Real
7.30
· 35 pass
Real Madrid Real Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Lunin G 90 7.30 — — — 35 30% — — —
A. Carreras D 90 7.20 — — — 74 68% 5 — —
D. Huijsen D 90 8.90 — — — 73 67% 3 — —
Eder Militao D 44 7.00 — — 1 23 19% 2 — —
T. Alexander-Arnold D 63 7.70 — — 1 65 61% — — —
A. Guler M 58 7.30 — 1 — 51 47% 1 — —
A. Tchouameni M 63 6.90 — — 1 42 37% — 1 —
J. Bellingham M 58 7.30 — — 1 34 32% 1 — —
F. Valverde M 90 7.20 — 1 1 54 50% 2 — —
Vinicius Junior F 90 9.50 1 — 3 43 38% — — —
K. Mbappe F 90 8.20 1 — 6 42 35% — — —
A. Rudiger D 46 7.20 — — — 34 32% — — —
B. Diaz M 32 6.00 — — 1 15 15% 2 — —
D. Carvajal D 27 6.20 — — — 15 14% — — —
E. Camavinga M 27 6.30 — — — 19 14% — — —
F. Mastantuono F 32 6.30 — — 2 10 8% — — —
Alaves Alaves — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Sivera G 90 5.60 — — — 23 5% — — —
Yusi D 66 6.30 — — — 14 14% — — —
V. Parada D 90 6.90 — — 1 32 30% 1 — —
N. Tenaglia D 90 7.50 — — — 17 15% 2 — —
Jonny Otto D 90 6.90 — — 1 46 40% 5 — —
A. Perez D 90 6.30 — — — 36 27% 1 1 —
D. Suarez M 58 6.20 — — — 24 20% — — —
A. Blanco M 75 7.30 — — — 50 47% 2 — —
J. Guridi M 58 6.30 — — — 18 14% 2 — —
L. Boye F 66 5.90 — — — 15 11% 2 — —
T. Martinez F 90 6.50 1 — 6 26 19% 1 — —
A. Guevara M 15 6.90 — 1 1 18 18% — — —
Calebe M 24 6.60 — — — 10 10% — — —
C. Alena M 32 6.60 — — 1 24 23% — — —
I. Diabate F 24 6.50 — — 1 2 1% — — —
P. Ibanez M 32 7.00 — — 1 18 17% 4 — —