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HNL · Regular Season - 28 April 07, 2026 20:00
#8 · 36 pts
1 – 3
Final score
#2 · 61 pts
Model correct — prediction HNK Hajduk Split
C. Agada 84'
23' (ast. R. Brajkovic) M. Livaja
51' (ast. M. Sego) A. Pajaziti
58' (ast. R. Pukstas) M. Livaja
Match statistics
5
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
8
0.24
Actual xG
2.06
5
Saves
1
32%
Possession
68%
2
Corners
8
23
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Kadusic
9'
23'
ast. R. Brajkovic · M. Livaja
34'
M. Livaja
E. Frederiksen
49'
51'
ast. M. Sego · A. Pajaziti
58'
ast. R. Pukstas · M. Livaja
L. Stulac / S. Loncar
58'
A. Mauric / A. Obando
67'
76'
N. Skoko / R. Pukstas
76'
A. Kalik / M. Sego
S. Miettinen / F. Taraba
76'
V. Rozic / S. Gorican
76'
S. Prevljak / C. Agada
76'
81'
A. Sanyang / R. Brajkovic
81'
H. Guillamon / F. Krovinovic
C. Agada
84'
86'
A. Sanyang
90'+2
A. Guram / M. Livaja
Pre-match prediction
19.3%
Istra
18.44%
X
62.26%
HNK ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (HNK Hajduk Split) 62.26% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Istra
0.76
0.24
-0.52
HNK
2.50
2.06
-0.44
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (2.06 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 32 76
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 32 61
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 32 47
4 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 32 43
5 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 32 41
6 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 32 38
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 32 38
8 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 32 36
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 32 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 32 25
Lineups
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
1 Franko Kolić Franko Kolić G 7.50
26 Marcel Heister Marcel Heister D 6.60
16 Samuli Miettinen Samuli Miettinen 76' D 6.20
3 Mohamed Nasraoui Mohamed Nasraoui D 6.90
97 Advan Kadušić Advan Kadušić D 6.20
23 Leo Štulac Leo Štulac 58' M 6.20
5 Josip Radošević Josip Radošević M 6.60
7 Vinko Rozić Vinko Rozić 76' M 6.30
8 Antonio Maurić Antonio Maurić 67' M 6.30
17 Emil Frederiksen Emil Frederiksen M 6.30
9 Smail Prevljak Smail Prevljak 76' F 6.50
Bench
29 Allen Obando Allen Obando 23' F 6.60
77 Charles Adah Agada Charles Adah Agada 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.20
20 Dukan Ahmeti Dukan Ahmeti M
24 Filip Taraba Filip Taraba 14' D 6.60
25 Gustavo Albarracín Gustavo Albarracín M
18
Israel Ayuma M
40 Jan Paus-Kunšt Jan Paus-Kunšt G
13 Niko Šepić Niko Šepić D
30 Nik Škafar Žužić Nik Škafar Žužić F
44 Rene Hrvatin Rene Hrvatin D
11 Silvio Goričan Silvio Goričan 14' F 6.30
10 Stjepan Lončar Stjepan Lončar 32' M 7.20
33 Toni Silić Toni Silić G 7.20
17 Dario Melnjak Dario Melnjak D 6.20
31 Zvonimir Šarlija Zvonimir Šarlija D 7.20
15 Dario Marešić Dario Marešić D 7.30
8 Niko Sigur Niko Sigur D 7.50
23 Filip Krovinović Filip Krovinović 81' M 7.20
4 Adrion Pajaziti Adrion Pajaziti 1 ⚽ M 8.20
11 Michele Šego Michele Šego 1 👟 M 6.70
21 Rokas Pukštas Rokas Pukštas 1 👟 76' M 7.30
28 Roko Brajković Roko Brajković 1 👟 81' M 7.00
10 Marko Livaja Marko Livaja 2 ⚽ 89' F 8.50
Bench
24 Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba 9' F 6.20
26 Adam Huram Adam Huram 1' M
7 Anthony Kalik Anthony Kalik M
34 Bruno Durdov Bruno Durdov F
44 Dante Stipica Dante Stipica G
6 Hugo Guillamón Hugo Guillamón 9' M 6.60
5 Ismaël Diallo Ismaël Diallo D
41 Ivan Pocrnjić Ivan Pocrnjić G
36 Marino Skelin Marino Skelin D
37 Noa Skoko Noa Skoko 14' M 6.90
14 Ron Raçi Ron Raçi D
32 Šimun Hrgović Šimun Hrgović D
Best on the pitch
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja
F · HNK
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 31 pass
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti
M · HNK
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 88 pass
Niko Sigur
Niko Sigur
D · HNK
7.50
· 80 pass
Franko Kolić
Franko Kolić
G · Istra
7.50
· 20 pass
Rokas Pukštas
Rokas Pukštas
M · HNK
7.30
1 👟
5 shots · 25 pass
Dario Marešić
Dario Marešić
D · HNK
7.30
· 69 pass
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Franko Kolić G 90 7.50 20 6%
Marcel Heister D 90 6.60 20 13% 4
Samuli Miettinen D 76 6.20 18 11% 3
Mohamed Nasraoui D 90 6.90 34 30% 2
Advan Kadušić D 90 6.20 1 34 21% 2 1
Leo Štulac M 58 6.20 22 18% 1
Josip Radošević M 90 6.60 40 36% 4
Vinko Rozić M 76 6.30 1 15 11%
Antonio Maurić M 67 6.30 17 14% 1
Emil Frederiksen M 90 6.30 2 23 17% 1 1
Smail Prevljak F 76 6.50 11 9%
Allen Obando F 23 6.60 5 3% 1
Charles Adah Agada F 14 7.20 1 1 2 1
Filip Taraba D 14 6.60 12 11% 1
Silvio Goričan F 14 6.30 5 5%
Stjepan Lončar M 32 7.20 17 15% 2
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Toni Silić G 90 7.20 35 26%
Dario Melnjak D 90 6.20 58 46% 1
Zvonimir Šarlija D 90 7.20 79 75% 2
Dario Marešić D 90 7.30 69 61% 1
Niko Sigur D 90 7.50 80 72% 3
Filip Krovinović M 81 7.20 1 76 66%
Adrion Pajaziti M 90 8.20 1 1 88 83% 2
Michele Šego M 90 6.70 1 2 27 21%
Rokas Pukštas M 76 7.30 1 5 25 20% 1
Roko Brajković M 81 7.00 1 2 43 39% 2
Marko Livaja F 89 8.50 2 3 31 25% 1 1
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba F 9 6.20 3 3% 1
Adam Huram M 1 1 1%
Hugo Guillamón M 9 6.60 12 11% 1
Noa Skoko M 14 6.90 8 8% 2