Liga BetPlay
· Regular Season - 17
April 21, 2026 03:30
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Nacional
A. Roman
(ast. C. Arango)
57'
M. Moreno
(ast. J. Campuzano)
89'
Match statistics
16
Total shots
12
9
Shots on target
4
1.14
Actual xG
0.73
4
Saves
6
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
4
19
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Rengifo
19'
E. Cardona
42'
⚽A. Roman
· ast. C. Arango
57'
62'
J. Mosquera
/
K. Londono
E. Bello
/ A. Sarmiento
70'
C. Arango
/ A. Morelos
70'
70'
J. Salazar
/
E. Batalla
70'
G. Charrupi
/
F. Charrupi
E. Cardona
/ M. Moreno
81'
84'
F. Sambueza
M. Uribe
/ F. Marin
87'
J. Rengifo
/ X. Rios
87'
⚽M. Moreno
· ast. J. Campuzano
89'
Pre-match prediction
66.13%
Atletico ←
20.61%
X
13.26%
Bucaramanga
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional)
66.13%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.37
1.14
-1.23
0.72
0.73
+0.01
Atletico Nacional dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
David Ospina
G
David Ospina
G
20
Milton Casco
D
Milton Casco
D
16
William Tesillo
D
William Tesillo
D
28
Simon Garcia
D
Simon Garcia
D
6
Andrés Román
1 ⚽
D
Andrés Román
1 ⚽
D
8
Matheus Uribe
87'
M
Matheus Uribe
87'
M
21
Jorman Campuzano
1 👟
M
Jorman Campuzano
1 👟
M
19
Juan Manuel Rengifo
87'
M
Juan Manuel Rengifo
87'
M
10
Edwin Cardona
81'
M
Edwin Cardona
81'
M
18
Eduard Bello
70'
M
Eduard Bello
70'
M
17
Cristian Arango
1 👟
70'
F
Cristian Arango
1 👟
70'
F
Bench
9
Alfredo Morelos
20'
F
Alfredo Morelos
20'
F
14
Andrés Marín
3'
D
Andrés Marín
3'
D
29
Andrés Sarmiento
20'
F
Andrés Sarmiento
20'
F
4
César Haydar
D
César Haydar
D
27
Dairon Asprilla
F
Dairon Asprilla
F
15
Harlen Castillo
G
Harlen Castillo
G
7
Marlos Moreno
1 ⚽
9'
F
Marlos Moreno
1 ⚽
9'
F
33
Samuel Velásquez
M
Samuel Velásquez
M
31
Xavi Rios
3'
M
Xavi Rios
3'
M
12
Luis Vásquez
G
Luis Vásquez
G
8
Freddy Hinestroza
D
Freddy Hinestroza
D
3
Martín Rea
D
Martín Rea
D
2
Jefferson Mena
D
Jefferson Mena
D
19
Aldair Gutiérrez
D
Aldair Gutiérrez
D
21
Felix Charrupí
70'
M
Felix Charrupí
70'
M
20
Aldair Zárate
M
Aldair Zárate
M
7
Kevin Londoño
62'
M
Kevin Londoño
62'
M
10
Fabián Sambueza
M
Fabián Sambueza
M
15
Emerson Batalla
70'
M
Emerson Batalla
70'
M
9
Brandon Caicedo
F
Brandon Caicedo
F
Bench
11
Fredy Salazar
20'
F
Fredy Salazar
20'
F
13
Gleyfer Medina
F
6
Gustavo Charrupi
20'
F
Gustavo Charrupi
20'
F
18
Israel Alba
D
Israel Alba
D
4
José García
D
José García
D
14
Juan Mosquera
28'
D
Juan Mosquera
28'
D
28
Leonardo Flores
M
Leonardo Flores
M
16
Luis Matheus
G
Luis Matheus
G
Best on the pitch
William Tesillo
D · Atletico
8.50
· 66 pass
Andrés Román
D · Atletico
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
Milton Casco
D · Atletico
7.70
1 shots
· 37 pass
David Ospina
G · Atletico
7.50
· 34 pass
Jorman Campuzano
M · Atletico
7.50
1 👟
· 34 pass
Fabián Sambueza
M · Bucaramanga
7.30
3 shots
· 47 pass
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Ospina | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Milton Casco | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| William Tesillo | D | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 61% | 6 | — | — |
| Simon Garcia | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Román | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Uribe | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorman Campuzano | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Rengifo | M | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Edwin Cardona | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eduard Bello | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Cristian Arango | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Alfredo Morelos | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Marín | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Sarmiento | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Marlos Moreno | F | 9 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Xavi Rios | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Bucaramanga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Vásquez | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Freddy Hinestroza | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Rea | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Mena | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Aldair Gutiérrez | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Felix Charrupí | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Aldair Zárate | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Londoño | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Sambueza | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 47 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Emerson Batalla | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Brandon Caicedo | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Fredy Salazar | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Charrupi | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Juan Mosquera | D | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |